Smart Money Analysis-Soros shuns Vale amid political meddling
* Large hedge funds sold Vale shares in third quarter
* Many see political meddling as reason
* Worries that interference may skew its strategy
By Guillermo Parra-Bernal
SAO PAULO, Dec 4 (Reuters) - Political interference appears
to have damaged investor confidence in Brazilian mining company
Vale (VALE.N), prompting some of the world's largest hedge
funds to cut their positions in the previous quarter.
Ken Griffin's Citadel Investment and George Soros' eponymous fund were among investors that reduced or sold all their Vale holdings in the third quarter, according to data compiled by Thomson Reuters. Both Citadel and Soros Fund Management declined to comment.
The funds exited Vale as President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and other government officials intensified attacks on the company's management for firing local staff and trimming domestic expansion plans in response to the global downturn.
Lula wants Vale, the world's largest iron ore producer, to boost investment into steel ventures to stoke growth and create more jobs. But some investors see the president's agenda for Vale as erratic and fear it could hamper profits.
"All this bashing has been a source of concern," said Will Landers, who oversees $8.5 billion in emerging market equities for New York-based Blackrock.
"That the government wants Vale to put more value-added on their products locally isn't bad, but you don't want to see Vale controlling all these steel companies."
Vale's American Depositary receipts were down about 1 percent at $28.61 on Friday. They have more than doubled this year.
Soros, Millennium Management, Renaissance Technologies, Och-Ziff Capital and Blue Ridge Capital all appear to have sold their Vale share holdings in the period, based on securities filings, while Citadel and two other funds trimmed their positions.
The funds declined to discuss their strategy with Reuters.
Since the intensification of the credit crisis in September 2008, Lula has sought to reshape Brazil's corporate sector and align firms' profit-driven goals with those of the nation through the use of massive state loans and tax breaks.
Vale Chief Executive Roger Agnelli announced in October a $12.9 billion investment plan for 2010, up a third from this year's outlays, in a move seen as easing tensions with the government. Vale has started running TV ads calling itself "the private company that invests the most in Brazil."
It has also announced plans to invest in steel mills, although its policy has been to shy away from taking majority stakes to avoid competing with its own clients. The company will invest more than $20 billion through 2014 to help double Brazil's steel capacity.
"The risk would be that Vale loses a bit of its focus on diversified mining, but its recent moves have somehow allayed that concern," said Peter Pingo Ho, an analyst with Sao Paulo-based Brava Investimentos.
State-run pension fund Previ, Bradespar -- the investment
holding company of Banco Bradesco (BBDC4.SA) -- and Japan's
Mitsui are among Vale's controlling shareholders. The
government has a direct 7 percent stake through state
development lender BNDES plus a golden share that allows it to
veto or sponsor a change in control.
Some investors have taken advantage of the turmoil to hold or add more Vale stock, saying the company is immune to political pressure.
"So far I didn't any significant change in its strategic focus," said Eduardo Favrin, who manages $2.7 billion in equities for HSBC Asset Management in Sao Paulo. (Additional reporting by John Rittue and Joe Giannone in New York, editing by Matthew Lewis) ((guillermo.parra@thomsonreuters.com; + 55-11-5644-7714; Reuters Messaging: guillermo.parra.reuters.com@reuters.net))
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