UPDATE 2-US pending home sales bodes well for spring buying
(Repeats with no change to headline or text)
* Pending home sales index up 2.1 percent in February
* First gain for index in two months
* Sets up positive start to spring buying season
(Adds details, quote, market reaction)
By Leah Schnurr
WASHINGTON/NEW YORK, March 28 (Reuters) - Surprisingly upbeat data on the U.S. housing market on Monday suggests home sales will tick higher going into the traditionally strong spring season.
Pending sales of previously owned U.S. homes unexpectedly rose in February, a welcome sign after data last week showed sales of new and previously owned homes slumped last month. For details, see [ID:nN23141447]
The data leads existing home sales by a month or two and suggests some of the recent weakness was due to unusually severe winter weather. Nonetheless, housing remains at low levels and economists expect that will continue.
The National Association of Realtors said its Pending Home Sales Index, based on contracts signed in February, increased 2.1 percent to 90.8 after declining for the past two months.
Economists had expected the index to fall 1.0 percent after a previously reported 2.8 percent decline. Compared to February last year, the index was down 8.2 percent.
"What this tells me is the housing market is still groping for stabilization, but certainly it made some progress in this month," said Anthony Chan, chief economist at J.P. Morgan Private Wealth Management in New York.
"This figure would suggest as you are starting to approach the peak season that the market is getting off to a favorable start."
Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics, estimated that the increase in pending sales suggests existing home sales for March will rise to an annual rate of about 5 million units from February's 4.88 million unit pace. Sales of previously owned homes have declined 9.6 percent in February.
An oversupply of homes exacerbated by an increasing flood of properties falling into foreclosure is frustrating recovery in the housing market, whose collapse triggered the worst U.S. recession since the 1930s.
The housing market has remained outside the broader economy's expansion. Though residential construction accounts for about 2.3 percent of gross domestic product, housing has a big impact on the economy as changes in house prices can affect consumer confidence.
New home sales plumbed record lows in February and housing starts recorded their biggest decline in 27 years.
The recent dismal data had raised questions of whether a double-dip was taking place in the housing market. Economists said that it was more likely the sector will remain weak for some time.
"We may not see notable gains in existing home sales in the near term, but they're expected to rise 5 to 10 percent this year with the economic recovery, job creation and excellent affordability conditions providing confidence to buyers who have been on the sidelines," said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun.
The spring season is traditionally a strong one for home buying as purchasers look to have their families moved in before the school year starts in September.
Leif Thomsen, chief executive of Mortgage Master, said the Walpole, Massachusetts-based lender has seen a strong increase in March mortgage applications compared to the first two months of the year, bringing them more in line with their monthly average last year.
"Especially in the northeast because of the winter we had, there was an almost complete standstill in the purchase business. We're seeing a little bit of a surge now, maybe a little bit of pent-up demand from the last couple months," said Thomsen.
Even so, Thomsen and others in the industry say potential home buyers are not in a rush to buy.
"The homes they looked at twelve months ago are still for sale and maybe it's been dropped in price, so why would they be in a hurry?" said Thomsen.
(Additional reporting by Lucia Mutikani; Editing by Andrew Hay)
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