Belarus currency crisis deepens with central bank U-turn
MINSK (Reuters) - Belarus' currency crisis deepened on Friday as interbank foreign exchange trading ground to a halt, participants said, following a policy U-turn on valuations from the central bank.
The bank, battling to restore confidence in the country's depreciating rouble, said on Tuesday it would allow the currency to float on the interbank market, taking a step towards a full-scale devaluation.
But after the currency immediately fell to 5,000 per dollar in trading, the central bank on Friday informally recommended that banks transact at a valuation closer to the official rate of 3,044.
"The central bank has strongly recommended banks to work within the 4,500-4,600 corridor," one source said.
"There is no trading," said another.
The central bank, which operates separate exchange rates for banks and corporations on the one hand and individuals on the other, declined to comment on Friday's interbank trading.
The move effectively reversed Tuesday's decision to allow a free-floating rate on the interbank market.
"The central bank must have been terrified that the rate had become uncontrollable," said one market player who spoke on condition of anonymity.
Facing a large current account deficit, Belarus has lost a quarter of its foreign currency reserves this year trying to support the rouble before resorting to trading restrictions in March.
Belarussian exporters must sell 30 percent of their export revenue to the central bank at the official rate which also serves as an indicator for high-street cash points.
But since the official rate is unattractive, many businesses are holding on to their currency reserves and turning off the flow of dollars into the retail points.
The currency crisis and the operation of a two-tier exchange rate system which has spawned a currency black market and led to panic buying of consumer goods, represent a setback for President Alexander Lukashenko.
He promised a steady improvement in living standards prior to his re-election last December.
Some Belarussians are now posting themselves money transfers to Russia, then driving across the border to pick them up in Russian roubles and sell them at a profit back home on the black market.
Ordinary Belarussians are having to wait for hours in lines to cash points to snap up whatever currency is sold by others.
"Scuffles are taking place at exchange points ... as citizens argue about queue order," Interfax news agency quoted senior Interior Ministry official Viktor Senko as saying.
AWAITING RUSSIAN AID
The central bank has said it will unify rates and do away with different tiers once the free-floating exchange rate becomes "balanced." Deputy Prime Minister Sergei Rumas told Reuters this week he saw 3,800-4,100 roubles per dollar as a fair exchange rate.
Analysts say the authorities are waiting for a $3 billion (1 billion pound) loan that Belarus has requested from Russia and which will allow the central bank to regain control of the market.
"We are expecting some foreign borrowing and talks with Russia, in particular, are going on," Anatoly Moroz, the head of currency control department at the central bank was quoted by state news agency BelTA as saying on Friday.
"In May, this issue (of a loan) will be resolved," he said.
Russia, however, has said it wants to see a more detailed economic stabilisation plan. Analysts say another option for Belarus is to sell some state assets.
"We also expect to see news about a possible privatisation of state assets intensifying in coming weeks as this remains one of the few real options for refilling the reserves that the authorities have at their disposal," VTB Capital said in a note.
A devaluation would be a setback for Lukashenko who promised to double the average monthly wage to $1,000 by 2015 as he campaigned for a fourth term in office last year.
(Reporting by Andrei Makhovsky; Writing by Olzhas Auyezov and Richard Balmforth; Editing by John Stonestreet)
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