Italy's Monti surprises with income tax cut, lifts VAT

ROME Wed Oct 10, 2012 4:13pm BST

Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti speaks at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York September 27, 2012.REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton

Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti speaks at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York September 27, 2012.

Credit: Reuters/Shannon Stapleton

ROME (Reuters) - Prime Minister Mario Monti announced an income tax cut to help low earners on Wednesday, giving a rare lift to struggling Italian households ahead of parliamentary elections next year but leaving unions dissatisfied and threatening a strike.

The unexpected measure was presented in the early hours of the morning, along with a rise in value added tax and a raft of spending cuts designed to keep Italy on course to meet budget goals agreed with the European Union.

Monti said the multi-billion-euro tax break, coming into effect at most four months ahead of elections, showed that painful austerity measures implemented by his unelected administration were beginning to produce results.

"Today we can see that budget discipline pays and makes sense," he told reporters after a marathon cabinet meeting.

Economists gave the tax cut a guarded welcome, but said it would do little to address the underlying problem of persistently low growth that has dogged the debt-riddled Italian economy for more than a decade.

Italy's biggest union, the CGIL, said the cuts to spending and local services amounted to a new austerity package and the government had to do more to help workers.

"If there are no answers on incomes and jobs, there'll be a general strike," CGIL leader Susanna Camusso said on Twitter.

Tito Boeri, professor of economics at Milan's Bocconi University, said the stimulus package could have gone further.

"It's still a very timid measure because the provision is still very limited as far as reducing fiscal pressure on wage earners is concerned. They could have done much more," he said.

The one-percentage-point cut in the two lowest income tax brackets is expected to cost 5 billion euros (4 billion pounds), according to a Treasury source.

The rate will drop to 22 percent from 23 percent for those earning less than 15,000 euros per year, and to 26 percent from 27 percent for salaries between 15,001 and 28,000 euros.

The cuts come into force at the start of next year, just months ahead of elections due to be held by April. The top three income tax bands will remain unchanged.

The government fell short of expectations that it would eliminate a planned two-percentage-point hike in value added tax, due to come into effect in June next year. But it did limit the increase to one point.

Giacomo Vaciago, an economist at the Milan's Catholic University said the tax cut was a "golden pill aimed at creating a bit of hope," but did nothing to address the growth problem.

"In structural terms, for recovery, there's little or nothing. There's no serious, structural discussion of recovery," he said.

AUSTERITY DIET

The severe austerity imposed by Monti to try to bring public finances under control has exacerbated a year-long recession in the euro zone's third biggest economy and has been a focus of criticism from all political factions.

Monti, appointed last year in the middle of a severe financial crisis, has ruled out running in next year's election but has said he would be available to serve again if Italy's fractious political parties are unable to form a government.

The government forecasts Italy's economy will contract by 2.4 percent in 2012 and 0.2 percent in 2013, and the public deficit is expected to hit 2.6 percent of gross domestic product before narrowing to 1.8 percent in 2013.

But it said it would stick to its commitment to balance its budget in structural, or growth-adjusted, terms.

Compensating for the income tax cut, the government will reduce spending to the health system, local services, universities and public transport. It also introduced a new financial transactions tax and unspecified "fiscal interventions" on banks and insurance companies.

The transaction tax will help finance tax breaks on wages linked to productivity gains, a measure intended to help ease Italy's long-standing problem of low productivity.

In addition, the government will cap a number of tax deductions for people who earn more than 15,000 euros a year at a maximum of 3,000 euros and subject war and invalidity pensions to income tax.

With the euro zone debt crisis showing few signs of easing, Italy's stagnant economy and a towering public debt expected to reach 126.4 percent of gross domestic product this year have limited the government's room for manoeuvre.

There were some signs of a pick-up in data released on Wednesday, which showed a 1.7 percent month-on-month jump in industrial output in August while analysts had expected a decline. But statistics bureau ISTAT said the data may have been distorted by seasonal factors.

The cabinet also proposed a reform to the constitution to centralise spending controls over the country's 20 regional governments, which have been the focus of a recent series of high-profile corruption scandals.

(Additional reporting by Steve Scherer, Stefano Bernabei, Francesca Piscioneri, Elvira Pollina and Giulio Piovaccari. Writing by James Mackenzie and Steve Scherer.; Editing by John Stonestreet)

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