LONDON Oct 3 Emerging equities rose 0.8 percent
on Monday, buoyed by robust factory activity data in Europe and
Asia, and reports that a fine imposed on Germany's Deutsche Bank
may be smaller than initially feared.
The benchmark emerging equity index rose off
10-day lows hit on Friday, tracking developed market gains after
a report said Deutsche Bank and the U.S. Department
of Justice were close to agreeing a settlement of $5.4 billion,
well below the initial $14 billion demand.
The threat of a fresh European banking crisis had pushed
Deutsche Bank shares to record lows last week, dragging on
European and emerging market sentiment.
Robust manufacturing activity data across emerging markets
also lifted investor sentiment, with Hungary, Poland, China
, Indonesia and Taiwan performing strongly.
"Overall this goes with our view that emerging markets are
doing fairly well - the tide has to some extent turned," said
Jakob Christensen, head of emerging markets research at Danske
Bank in Copenhagen.
Mainland China was closed for a week-long holiday but Hong
Kong gained 1.2 percent and Indonesia shares rose
1.7 percent after export orders touched a four-year high.
Taiwan shares also rose 0.7 percent after September
factory activity hit a two-year high.
The strong Asian performance was echoed across emerging
Europe, where Budapest shares rose 0.7 percent after
factory activity touched its highest September figure since
1995, although this survey tends to be volatile.
The forint weakened slightly against the euro, however,
following a referendum on Sunday in which a majority rejected
the EU's migrant quotas, although low turnout made the poll
Polish stocks rose 0.5 percent, with factory
activity expanding at the fastest pace in six months
, whilst Russian dollar-denominated shares
rose almost 1.2 percent after Russian manufacturing was boosted
by the sharpest rise in output in nearly two years.
"Clearly the fairly strong macro economic management,
together with higher oil prices, is bringing some results (for
Russia) and we are looking for positive growth possibly in Q4
and definitely in 2017," said Christensen.
The Russian rouble firmed 0.8 percent against the
dollar, helped by a rise in oil prices of almost one
percent to above $50 a barrel.
The Kazakh tenge also firmed 0.3 percent before an
interest rate review that could cut rates by 50 basis points to
12.5 percent. The central bank has cut rates twice this year by
200 basis points each time.
South African telecoms stock MTN fell one percent
and its 2024 Eurobond was down 0.9 cents to the lowest since
end-June following a downgrade by Standard &
Poor's on Friday to BB+ from BBB-.
The company has denied allegations it illegally repatriated
$13.92 billion from Nigeria, its biggest market,
where it also faces a fine in a dispute over unregistered SIM
Overall South African shares slipped 0.2 percent
but the rand firmed 0.7 percent against the dollar.
Turkish stocks rallied 1.2 percent but the lira
slipped 0.23 percent after consumer and producer prices
rose less than expected.
Tim Ash, an analyst at Nomura, the data would help the
central bank justify its rate-cutting stance and perhaps also
lay the way for further easing.
"The (central bank) likely will continue cutting rates and
selling this as 'simplification' until it unifies its main
Colombian dollar bonds fell around one cent across the curve
after voters rejected a peace deal with Marxist
FARC guerrillas, plunging the nation into uncertainty.
For GRAPHIC on emerging market FX performance 2016, see link.reuters.com/jus35t
For GRAPHIC on MSCI emerging index performance 2016, see link.reuters.com/weh36s
For GRAPHIC on MSCI emerging Europe performance 2016, see link.reuters.com/jun28s
For GRAPHIC on MSCI frontier index performance 2016, see link.reuters.com/zyh97s
For CENTRAL EUROPE market report, see
For TURKISH market report, see
For RUSSIAN market report, see )
Emerging Markets Prices from Reuters
Equities Latest Net Chg % Chg % Chg
Emrg Mkt Indx 910.28 +6.82 +0.75 +14.62
Czech Rep 871.87 +8.29 +0.96 -8.83
Poland 1721.00 +11.49 +0.67 -7.43
Hungary 27893.92 +229.67 +0.83 +16.61
Romania 6958.51 +21.67 +0.31 -0.65
Greece 569.59 +4.06 +0.72 -9.78
Russia 1004.88 +14.00 +1.41 +32.74
South Africa 45424.90 -0.69 +0.00 -0.81
Turkey 77249.86 +761.48 +1.00 +7.70
China 3005.51 +7.03 +0.23 -15.08
India 28203.87 +337.91 +1.21 +7.99
Currencies Latest Prev Local Local
close currency currency
% change % change
Czech Rep 27.02 27.01 -0.04 -0.09
Poland 4.29 4.29 +0.09 -0.75
Hungary 308.07 307.95 -0.04 +2.13
Romania 4.45 4.44 -0.14 +1.62
Serbia 123.05 122.92 -0.11 -1.28
Russia 62.41 62.87 +0.74 +16.89
Kazakhstan 334.72 335.82 +0.33 +1.73
Ukraine 25.90 25.91 +0.04 -7.52
South Africa 13.65 13.71 +0.44 +13.27
Kenya 101.15 101.20 +0.05 +1.04
Israel 3.76 3.75 -0.30 +3.49
Turkey 3.01 3.00 -0.26 -2.95
China 6.67 6.67 -0.00 -2.65
India 66.49 66.55 +0.09 -0.43
Brazil 3.26 3.26 -0.04 +21.45
Mexico 19.20 19.38 +0.89 -10.59
Debt Index Strip Spd Chg %Rtn Index
Sov'gn Debt EMBIG 359 -1 .03 7 71.83 1