By Karin Strohecker
LONDON Dec 21 Emerging markets struggled for
direction in thin pre-holiday trade on Wednesday, though a pause
in the dollar and higher oil prices helped Russia's rouble to
hit a one-week high.
MSCI's emerging market stock index eased 0.3
percent, with gains in Russia, Poland and some
Asian bourses but seeing losses in Asian
heavyweights Taiwan and South Korea.
Still reeling from the prospect of higher U.S. interest
rates following last week's Federal Reserve meeting, South
Korea's won and the Thai baht hit multi-month lows
against the dollar.
The weakening came despite a South Korean official in charge
of foreign exchange markets cautioning traders about pushing the
currency too low.
But a rise in oil prices helped the rouble
strengthen 0.5 percent in its third day of gains, while South
Africa's rand gained 0.2 percent. The rouble has in
recent days overtaken the Brazilian real to become the best
performing emerging currency of 2016 against the dollar.
"Markets are waiting for year-end, investors are putting
small amounts on the table - no one wants to take on a lot of
risk here around the turn of the year," said Per Hammarlund,
chief emerging markets strategist at SEB, adding the overall
sentiment was generally positive.
Turkey's lira rose 0.4 percent in a second day of
gains despite data showing weakening consumer confidence
. With the central bank having failed to raise
interest rates on Tuesday, Hammarlund said the gains were
"The lira is hanging by a thread. A renewed upward movement
in U.S. Treasury yields, potentially as a result of Trump
pushing his infrastructure spending plans or at least a faster
rise in U.S. inflation, would send the lira tumbling," he said.
Ukraine's dollar-denominated bonds rose to a 6-week high
after the parliament passed the 2017 budget overnight, raising
its chance of securing the next tranche of the International
Monetary Fund (IMF) under a $17.5 billion loan package.
"Although it is too late for a Xmas IMF loan tranche
release, this plus the nationalisation of PrivatBank should help
secure the $1.3 billion in January," Simon Quijano-Evans, a
strategist at Legal & General Investment Management, told
In emerging Europe, Poland's zloty fell 0.3
percent, underperforming its regional peers as senior
politicians urged the opposition to abandon their protests and
warned it could impact investment.
Polish markets have been under pressure in recent days, and
opposition lawmakers vowed on Tuesday to continue their sit-in
protest in parliament until a vote on the 2017 budget they say
was held illegally outside of the parliament's plenary hall on
Friday is re-run with all lawmakers.
And in its latest survey, the Institute for International
Finance (IIF), said non-resident investors have pulled a total
of $23 billion from emerging market portfolios since early
October, including $18 billion since the U.S. presidential
The IIF, one of the most authoritative trackers of capital
flows to and from the developing world, said the U.S.
presidential election had triggered a substantial reversal in
fund flows, with nearly two thirds of withdrawals since Trump's
victory coming from debt securities.
Emerging Markets Prices from Reuters
Equities Latest Net Chg % Chg % Chg
Emrg Mkt Indx 851.05 -0.26 -0.03 +7.17
Czech Rep 915.71 -1.77 -0.19 -4.25
Poland 1947.25 +6.79 +0.35 +4.74
Hungary 31753.29 +39.79 +0.13 +32.74
Romania 7008.33 -13.69 -0.19 +0.06
Greece 640.40 +12.14 +1.93 +1.43
Russia 1149.65 +7.11 +0.62 +51.86
South Africa 43566.83 -188.20 -0.43 -4.87
Turkey 77820.25 +12.36 +0.02 +8.50
China 3138.54 +35.67 +1.15 -11.32
India 26230.74 -77.24 -0.29 +0.43
Currencies Latest Prev Local Local
close currency currency
% change % change
Czech Rep 27.01 27.01 +0.00 -0.04
Poland 4.41 4.40 -0.23 -3.53
Hungary 310.24 310.65 +0.13 +1.42
Romania 4.52 4.51 -0.17 +0.05
Serbia 123.55 123.53 -0.02 -1.68
Russia 61.10 61.42 +0.52 +19.39
Kazakhstan 332.40 335.27 +0.86 +2.44
Ukraine 26.38 26.40 +0.08 -9.20
South Africa 13.96 13.98 +0.12 +10.73
Kenya 102.35 102.20 -0.15 -0.15
Israel 3.84 3.84 +0.06 +1.30
Turkey 3.52 3.53 +0.30 -17.03
China 6.95 6.95 -0.03 -6.58
India 67.87 67.91 +0.06 -2.46
Brazil 3.35 3.35 +0.00 +18.06
Mexico 20.52 20.45 -0.33 -16.31
Debt Index Strip Spd Chg %Rtn Index
Sov'gn Debt EMBIG 364 0 .07 7 33.94 1
All data taken from Reuters at 10:11 GMT. Currency percent
change calculated from the daily U.S.
For GRAPHIC on MSCI emerging index performance 2016, see tmsnrt.rs/2dZbdP5
For CENTRAL EUROPE market report, see
For TURKISH market report, see
For RUSSIAN market report, see )
(Editing by Alison Williams)