(Recasts; updates U.S. market activity to close, adds analyst
comments, byline; changes dateline, previous PARIS/SINGAPORE)
By Michael Hirtzer
CHICAGO, Sept 9 U.S. corn and soybean futures
finished narrowly higher on Friday, capping big weekly gains in
a choppy session of light-volume trading ahead of the U.S.
Department of Agriculture's monthly supply and demand report
Chicago Board of Trade corn futures hit a 2-1/2-week high
and soybeans finished at the highest levels in two weeks while
wheat futures declined for the first time in three sessions.
The USDA is likely to reduce its corn yield forecast and
raise its soybean yield forecast in its September supply and
demand outlook due at midday (1600 GMT) on Monday, according to
a Reuters poll of analysts.
Analysts estimated the corn yield at 173.4 bushels per acre,
down from 175.1 bpa on Aug. 12, but still a record high and the
average soybean yield 49.2 bpa, up from 48.9 bpa in August.
Bumper harvests could exacerbate supply pressure given large
grain stocks, partly due to the reluctance of farmers to sell at
low prices, analysts said.
"Time is now running out for them (farmers), so they may
find themselves forced to sell their stocks to make space for
the new crop. This would add to the pressure on prices,"
Commerzbank analysts said in a note.
Chicago Board of Trade corn futures gained 3.5 percent
this week, their largest such bounce since June after prices hit
a seven-year low last week. CBOT December corn on Friday
settled up 2-1/2 cents at $3.41 per bushel.
"We had some guys doing some short-covering," Highground
Trading broker Scott Capinegro said, adding that he was bearish
on corn prices and predicted December corn could fall as low as
"If (Monday's data) is neutral, we should be lower. It's
going to be a big crop," Capinegro said.
U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data released
after the close of trading suggested that speculative investors
also were bearish, with speculators expanding their net short
corn bet in corn to the largest in more than four months.
Speculators in the trading week ended on Sept. 6 also
extended their wheat net short and trimmed their net soybean
long position, CFTC data showed.
CBOT November soybeans settled 3-1/2 cents higher at
$9.80-1/4 per bushel, adding to a weekly gain of 2.7 percent.
CBOT December wheat was down 2-1/2 cents to $4.03-1/2
per bushel but still managed a weekly gain of 0.8 percent.
(Additional reporting by Naveen Thukral in Singapore and Gus
Trompiz in Paris; editing by Jason Neely and Marguerita Choy)