* U.S. ISM survey shows service sector rebounds from 6-year
* Oil prices near four-month high
* Futures price in over 60 pct chance of Fed hike by Dec
* European shares seen rising 0.1-0.2 pct
By Marc Jones
LONDON, Oct 6 Growing expectations that U.S.
interest rates will rise before the end of the year lifted the
dollar and bank shares on Thursday but took the shine off gold,
one of the year's best- performing assets.
Investors were already looking to U.S. jobs data on Friday
as the dollar hit a four-week high against the yen in
early European trading. Sterling remained near a
European shares had a choppy start. Beaten-down banking
stocks provided the biggest boost, while reports of a
takeover sent German lightbulb maker Osram to a record
Although German industrial orders data came in surprisingly
strong, the region's big markets - Britain's FTSE
, Germany's DAX and France's CAC - still
dipped in and out of the red.
"By and large the dollar is continuing to trade well," said
Societe Generale strategist Alvin Tan. "Expectations about the
Fed raising rates are edging up and that has been helped by the
good run of U.S. data ... The big one though is tomorrow with
the non-farm payrolls report."
Strong U.S. jobs numbers could cement expectations of a
Federal Reserve rate increase, most likely in December. The
median forecast of economists polled by Reuters is for payrolls
to rise by 175,000.
The Fed-sensitive two-year U.S. government bond yield
reached a four-month high of 0.857 percent on
Wednesday as rate futures markets started pricing
in a more than 60 percent chance rates would rise before the end
of the year.
Europe's benchmark bond yield edged back below
zero, however, as investors looked towards minutes of the
European Central Bank's last meeting to soothe nerves about its
eventually winding down its stimulus programme.
Euro zone yields, including the bloc's top-rated German
debt, which is usually seen as a safe haven in times of stress,
have shot higher this week after reports about possible ECB
moves but were almost universally lower in early trade.
"The minutes to be released today may already shed some
light on the possible tweaks being considered," said Padhraic
Garvey, ING's global head of debt and rates strategy, referring
to a possible expansion of the ECB programme rather that a
The threat of tighter monetary policy in the U.S. and
possibly Europe as well hit precious metals hard.
Gold slumped to $1,267.4 per ounce, just off a 3
1/2-month low of $1,262.2 it had hit overnight. Silver
also fell to $17.69 after having tumbled to $17.565 per ounce,
its lowest since late June.
"A surprise on the upside (of U.S. jobs numbers) will make
market watchers expect an even higher probability of a rate hike
and that could bring gold prices down," said OCBC Bank analyst
"I would advise to buy on dips for gold simply because the
fall in gold prices is very much driven by very short-term
factors," Gan said, who has a year-end forecast of $1,350 an
In the currency market, the dollar rose to a one-month high
of 103.67 yen and last stood at 103.37 yen.
The British pound was close to the three-decade low
of $1.2686 it touched on Wednesday on worries about Britain's
exit from the European Union. It last traded at $1.2710.
The euro was little changed at $1.1200, as concern
over the health of Deutsche Bank offset speculation
about ECB tapering.
Oil prices slipped from three-month highs after Saudi Arabia
trimmed the price of its flagship crude in Asia.
International benchmark Brent futures was last at
$51.55 a barrel, after rising as high as $52.09 on Wednesday,
the highest since early June.
U.S. crude futures traded at $49.56, down 0.5 percent
on the day but up 2.7 percent on the week.
"Markets are hoping that they will not just agree on a cut
next month but will also come up with a series of cuts in the
future," said Hirokazu Kabeya, chief global strategist at Daiwa
"But unless we have more evidences of cooperation, it is
hard to see oil prices rising much further."
(Additional reporting by Hideyuki Sano in Tokyo and John Geddie
in London, editing by Larry King)