CDS volumes suggest US credit riskier than Europe

Thu Apr 16, 2009 11:13pm BST
 
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    NEW YORK, April 16 (Reuters) - Net volumes in credit 
default swaps on the the benchmark U.S. high-grade CDS index 
exceed those on its equivalent in Europe, which may reflect a 
more bearish view of U.S. credit, according to a report by 
Credit Derivatives Research on Thursday. 
    Gross volumes on U.S. and European CDS indexes are about 
the same, based on data by the Depository Trust & Clearing 
Corp, though net volumes in the U.S. greatly exceed those in 
Europe, Tim Backshall, chief strategist at the research firm 
said in a report. 
    This "suggests investors positioning for U.S. 
underperformance in our view," he said. 
    Gross volumes in global CDS markets grew by only $53 
billion globally last week, the DTCC said on Thursday in its 
weekly report of CDS volume changes. 
    Changes in the way U.S. CDS are traded may have been a 
factor behind the low volumes, though trading is expected to 
increase in the coming weeks, Backshall said. 
    "We remain convinced that CDS market participants are 
primed -- either long or short -- but unwilling to add/remove 
risk en masse in this market; perhaps waiting for the equity 
market to leg one way or another," he said. 
    Credit default swaps are used to insure against a borrower 
defaulting on their debt or speculate on their credit quality. 
When an investor buys protection they are taking a "long" 
position, and when they sell protection they are taking a 
"short," or negative, view of the debt. 
    CDS changes that reflected deteriorating perception of 
credit quality during the week were on International Paper 
, Whirlpool Corp , Burlington Northern Santa Fe 
Corp , Germany, Porsche , Telus Corp , 
Residential Capital, United Parcel Service , HCA Inc and 
Toll Brothers , said Backshall. 
    Positive sentiment was reflected in CDS on Italy, Ford 
Motor Co , France Telecom  VolksWagen , 
Sempra Energy , AB Volvo , BNP Paribas 
 and Ireland. 
 ((Reporting by Karen Brettell; editing by Gary Crosse)) 
 ((karen.brettell@thomsonreuters.com; +1-646-223-6274; Reuters 
Messaging: karen.brettell.reuters.com@reuters.net)) 
Keywords: CDS VOLUMES/DTCC 
    
 
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