Moody's downgraded $1.76 trln U.S. corp debt in Q1

Wed Apr 1, 2009 10:49pm BST
 
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    NEW YORK, April 1 (Reuters) - Corporate America's credit 
quality collapsed in the first quarter, with Moody's Investors 
Service downgrading an estimated $1.76 trillion of debt, a 
record high, the rating agency said on Wednesday. 
    The downgrades included a record number to the lowest 
rating categories, signaling the approach of the worst defaults 
since at least World War Two, Moody's chief economist John 
Lonski said in an interview. 
    "These are numbers that just underscore how risky both the 
financial and economic environment remain," Lonski said. 
    The downgrades reflect how badly corporate balance sheets 
have been hurt by the slump in consumer spending amid the 
deepest economic contraction since 1982. 
    "Business sales and profits fell off the table in general 
during the final quarter of last year and have continued to 
deteriorate in the first quarter in 2009," Lonski said. 
    U.S. corporate profits plunged a record $120.1 billion in 
the fourth quarter, depressed by tumbling consumer spending and 
exports. 
    Downgrades of investment-grade companies shot up by 153 
percent from the year-ago quarter to a record 96, while 
downgrades of junk-rated companies surged by 147 percent to 
287. 
    The rating downgrades were led by industries with exposure 
to the ailing housing industry, including homebuilders, 
mortgage insurers and major money center banks. Some 70 of the 
quarter's downgrades were housing related. 
    "The most prominent new driving force behind credit rating 
reductions would be deterioration of commercial real estate," 
Lonski said. That is taking a toll on regional banks and 
companies that manufacture equipment and material used in 
construction, he said. 
     The downgrades included one of the largest on record, $326 
billion of bonds and preferred shares of General Electric Co 
 and its units. Other major borrowers downgraded included 
Ford Motor Co , Citigroup  and Bank of America 
. 
    In addition to housing, sectors under rating pressure 
included automakers and auto parts suppliers, media companies, 
casinos and retailers. 
    Among the downgrades were 22 fallen angels, or companies 
cut to junk status. In addition, 82 ratings were downgraded to 
the lowest categories, Caa3 or lower. That means that the U.S. 
high-yield default rate, which stood at 5.7 percent in 
February, is destined to climb sharply in short order, Lonski 
said. 
    Moody's has forecast that the U.S. default rate will peak 
around 14.5 percent in November. 
 (Reporting by Dena Aubin; Editing by Leslie Adler) 
 (dena.aubin@thomsonreuters.com; +1-646-223-6325; Reuters 
Messaging: dena.aubin.reuters.com@reuters.net)) 
        
Keywords: DOWNGRADES CORP/MOODYS 
    
 
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