ECB holds rates as inflation stays high and growth slows

Thu Sep 4, 2008 2:59pm BST
 
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By Marc Jones

FRANKFURT (Reuters) - The European Central Bank left interest rates at 4.25 percent on Thursday, and President Jean-Claude Trichet said it wouldn't get euro zone inflation back on target until 2010.

The ECB also published forecasts by its staff showing higher inflation than previously expected, and lower economic growth for this year and next. However, Trichet said the ECB's outlook for monetary policy and the economy had not changed significantly since last month.

"We will deliver price stability during the course of 2010 -- I don't want to be more precise," he told his monthly news conference.

Euro zone inflation eased only slightly in August to 3.8 percent from the record 4.0 percent reached in June and July, and remains around double the ECB's medium-term price stability target of just below 2 percent.

Trichet said the 21-member Governing Council had been unanimous in its decision to keep rates on hold, and that it had "no bias" on future rate moves, echoing last month's language.

"We do not have any bias -- we just increased interest rates (in July), and we increased interest rates precisely to be sure that we are taking into account the risks that we see," he said. "Simultaneously we never precommit and we always do what is necessary to maintain price stability."

Risks to inflation were to the upside, while growth risks pointed downwards, Trichet said.

Nonetheless, Trichet did not see broad-based second-round inflation effects in the euro zone nor did he see the risk of a recession in the ECB's staff economic forecasts, which are not formally endorsed by the Governing Council.  Continued...

 
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