METALS-Copper cuts gain on dollar rebound, China data aids
* Chinese copper imports fall, but economic data robust
* Dollar hits 15-month low, recovers to pressure metals
* Analysts see investment money lifting copper (Recasts, updates prices, market activity to New York close; adds second byline, dateline, previously LONDON)
By Carole Vaporean and Michael Taylor
NEW YORK/LONDON, Nov 11 (Reuters) - Copper ended slightly higher on Wednesday, underpinned by the strong demand implied by robust economic data from China, the world's top copper user.
But the industrial metal came off session highs in late trading as the dollar rebounded,
Chinese factory output growth surged to a 19-month high in October, showing the world's third-largest economy has put the worst of the global financial crisis behind it. [ID:nPEK212006]
"Much anticipated Chinese economic data was generally positive, with better-than-expected industrial production, retail sales and trade surplus lending background support to base metals," said RBC Capital Markets analyst Suraj Raythatha in a note.
China's imports of unwrought and semi-finished copper products were down 34 percent in October from September, but copper traders seemed to shrug off the news. [ID:nSP438867]
Copper for three-months delivery MCU3 on the London Metal Exchange closed at $6,540 a tonne, up from $6,530 a tonne at the close on Tuesday. It hit a session high at $6,660.
For a graphic on China's monthly copper imports, click: here
"The (growth) data and the fact they are going to continue a looser monetary policy is positive," said David Wilson, director of metals research at Societe Generale. "The unwrought imports were down and stocks continue to rise, but who gives a damn about the fundamentals? China are just going to carry on spending."
Copper rallied when the dollar hit a 15-month low against major currencies on the view that U.S. interest rates will remain low well into next year, though it regained some ground after failing to push below key levels. [USD/]
On Tuesday, Federal Reserve officials said any recovery in the U.S. economy would be erratic, bolstering the view that interest rates would stay low. [ID:nN10315173]
Commodities priced in dollars become cheaper for non-dollar investors as the U.S. currency weakens.
On the supply side, copper was underpinned by a strike over wages by workers at Konkola Copper Mines, a unit of London-listed Vedanta Resources (VED.L: Quote, Profile, Research), that halted most units at the facility in Zambia. [nLB669456]
In Peru, workers at Antamina, a major copper mine, said on Tuesday contract talks with the company had broken down and that they would prepare to strike. [nN10315484]
INVESTMENT MONEY
Copper has more than doubled since the start of the year, driven by heavy Chinese restocking, signs of improved demand and dollar weakness.
But some say end-user consumption still remains low at high price levels and investment money has been the main driver behind metals recent gains.
LME copper inventories rose on Wednesday, up 3,175 tonnes at a six-month high of 397,325 tonnes. <0#LME-STOCKS>
China's refined copper production hit a record high for the second straight month as producers geared up to meet their yearly output plans. [ID:nPEK304880]
For a graphic on China's copper output, click: here
Rising domestic Chinese production along with rising inventories "should raise legitimate concerns about a short-term copper glut," said MF Global analyst Edward Meir in a note.
Aluminium MAL3 was untraded at the close, but last bid at $1,970.50 a tonne from $1,960 a tonne on Tuesday, despite a more than 7,000-tonne increase in aluminium inventories.
Zinc MZN3 ended at $2,184 from $2,161 and battery material lead MPB3 closed at $2,304.50 from $2,288. Tin MSN3 ended at $14,725 from $14,825.
Nickel MNI3 prices recovered from a seven-week low hit on Tuesday to touch a high of $17,270 tonnes, but closed at $16,850 versus $16,825.
Metal Prices at 1716 GMT Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2008 Ytd Pct
move COMEX Cu 296.00 0.30 +0.10 139.50 112.19 LME Alum 1960.00 0.00 +0.00 1535.00 27.69 LME Cu 6535.00 5.00 +0.08 3060.00 113.56 LME Lead 2295.00 7.00 +0.31 999.00 129.73 LME Nickel 16845.00 20.00 +0.12 11700.00 43.97 LME Tin 14675.00 -150.00 -1.01 10700.00 37.15 LME Zinc 2180.00 19.00 +0.88 1208.00 80.46 SHFE Alu 15115.00 -5.00 -0.03 11540.00 30.98 SHFE Cu* 50770.00 30.00 +0.06 23840.00 112.96 SHFE Zin 16725.00 70.00 +0.42 10120.00 65.27 ** 1st contract month for COMEX copper * 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07 (Editing by David Gregorio)
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