UPDATE 1-Russian Fin Min: No plans to tap oil windfall

Thu Oct 16, 2008 6:02pm BST
 
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By Gleb Bryanski

MOSCOW, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Russia has no plans to tap its $141 billion Reserve Fund - which serves to cushion the budget from oil price shocks - in 2008, despite the falling oil price, the Finance Ministry said in a statement on Thursday.

The ministry said the average price of oil in January-September 2008 stood at $109.1 per barrel and was not expected to change significantly before the year-end.

The ministry said the Reserve Fund will only be tapped if the average price of oil per year falls to below $70 per barrel, which was unlikely in 2008. The ministry's officials earlier said the budget can sustain an oil price of $50 per barrel.

In its calculations the ministry expects the average price of Urals, Russia's main export blend, to peak at $95 per barrel in 2009 and then start falling to $90 per barrel in 2010 and $88 per barrel in 2011.

The statement said Russia had no plans to tap the Reserve Fund in 2009-11 but added the estimates could be adjusted in December, when the Economy Ministry is due to unveil its revised economic forecasts.

The ministry said the reserve fund had already reached its target size of 10 percent of the gross domestic product (GDP) this year. The budget is projected to have a surplus of 1.9 billion roubles or 4.6 percent of GDP in 2008. Under the budget code Russia collects all oil revenues in the two sub-funds -- the Reserve Fund and the National Wealth Fund, which reached $32 billion on Oct.1 and is expected to reach $100 billion by year-end.

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