EMERGING MARKETS-Economic recovery hopes lift stocks, currency
By Daniel Bases
NEW YORK, June 4 (Reuters) - Latin American stocks and currencies gained ground on Thursday, spurred higher by U.S. economic data that suggested an economic recovery was taking hold and thereby lifted commodity prices.
Emerging markets rely on the export of commodities for a big portion of their economic growth and signs of recovery in the U.S. economy, a major destination for their goods and services, increase investor appetite for these riskier assets.
One root cause for the rise on Thursday were reports showing fewer U.S. workers filed for new claims for jobless benefits and worker productivity grew more than expected in the first quarter.
"Investors turned cautiously optimistic on Thursday, modestly bidding up risky assets lifting both core equity and commodity prices, which in turn provided some support to EM assets," RBC Capital Markets said in a research note.
RBC added that the narrowing of the JP Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus 11EMJ.JPMEMBIPLUS yield spread "was overshadowed by another steep pop in U.S. Treasury yields."
The EMBI+ narrowed by 10 basis points to 433 basis points, putting it at levels not seen since early October. This is another sign that investors concerns are easing.
The move to equities left U.S. Treasuries lagging, sending the benchmark 10-year yield up 16 basis points from late Wednesday US10YT=RR.
MSCI's Latin American stock index .MILA00000PUS rose 2.14 percent, its best level since early October. The broad-based MSCI emerging markets stock index .MSCIEF, however, lost ground, undermined by losses in Asian and eastern European bourses.
In the currency markets the Mexican peso gained 1.13 percent to 13.201 per U.S. dollar MEXO1MXN=.
Brazil's real climbed 1.08 percent to 1.9430 per U.S. dollar (BRBY: Quote, Profile, Research).
The rise in commodity prices helped underpin emerging markets.
Crude oil prices reached a 7-month high on economic recovery hopes. U.S. crude for July delivery CLc1 rose $2.69 to settle at $68.81 a barrel after peaking at $69.60 earlier in the day -- the highest level since early November.
Goldman Sachs raised its end of 2009 oil price forecast to $85 a barrel from $65 and introduced a new end of 2010 forecast of $95, the U.S. bank said in a research note.
Spot gold prices XAU= rose 1.88 percent or $18.05 an ounce to bid $980.15.
Prices for grains also rose, giving a boost to exporters such as Brazil and Argentina. (Editing by Kenneth Barry)
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