Canada Tories slip in poll but still solidly ahead

Thu Nov 5, 2009 3:54pm GMT
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* Majority not assured but Tories would be reelected

* Poll numbers close to 2008 election results

* Pollster says Liberals need something to inspire voters

OTTAWA, Nov 5 (Reuters) - Canada's governing Conservatives no longer have enough popular support to be assured of a majority government if an election were held now but would easily regain another minority, an Ekos poll showed on Thursday.

Their lead over the Liberal Party, the biggest opposition party, has dropped to a little more than 10 points, enough to win reelection handily but down from the 15-point edge they had three weeks ago.

The current standings almost exactly mirror the results from the October 2008 election, when the Liberals went down to their worst showing, in terms of percentage of vote, in more than a century.

"From the Liberal perspective, these results must be deeply troubling. Despite a new leader, and party coffers refilling, the Liberals are not competitive for government at the moment," Ekos President Frank Graves said. "They desperately need something to shake up the current pattern of support."

He added that it might be mildly encouraging for the Liberals that the gap has shrunk. They have attacked the Conservatives, led by Prime Minister Stephen Harper, over the government's handling of the H1N1 flu vaccine campaign and the injection of stimulus measures into the economy.

The Conservatives have 37.4 percent of popular support in the poll, down one point from last week and more than three points less than three weeks ago.  Continued...

 
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