EMERGING MARKETS-Tinge of hope for economy leaves credit stable
By Daniel Bases
NEW YORK, April 15 (Reuters) - Emerging markets turned in a mixed performance on Wednesday as credit markets digested new issues and awaited more to come while stocks cut their losses in a late-day rebound.
Sovereign emerging market bond spreads over U.S. Treasuries narrowed slightly while trading of credit default swaps, insurance against defaults and restructurings, was limited.
One investor cited the economic stimulus plans as one reason for a strengthening trend in credit markets.
"It certainly feels like all the initiatives from the public sectors are starting to pay off ... Money is coming off the sidelines for (sovereigns and blue-chips) and we are starting to see corporates too," said AJ Mediratta, senior managing director at Greylock Capital Management in New York.
The yield spread between emerging market sovereign bonds and U.S. Treasuries narrowed just 2 basis points to 563 basis points, according to the JP Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus 11EMJ.JPMEMBIPLUS.
MSCI's broad emerging markets stock index .MSCIEF rose just 0.06 percent, while the MSCI Latin American stock index .MILA00000PUS dipped 0.41 percent. Both indexes are hovering near six-month highs.
They were given a boost by a turnaround in U.S. stocks in the last hour of trade.
U.S. economic data cast a pall over trading. U.S. consumer prices fell in March, their first 12-month drop in nearly 54 years, as did industrial production. However the U.S. Federal Reserve said activity in some parts of the economy appeared to be stabilizing. [ID:nN15491736]
Mexico's currency, the peso, strengthened on this sentiment as the country sends roughly two-thirds of its exports north. However, the U.S. economy is still mired in a 16-month long recession that next month will mark the longest since the Great Depression.
The peso traded at 13.015 per U.S. dollar, up 1.03 percent versus the Mexican central bank's final 1:30 p.m. (1830 GMT) reference on Wednesday MXN=MEX01. The Brazilian real dipped 0.09 percent to 2.1970 against the greenback (BRBY: Quote, Profile, Research).
BRAZIL CUTS TARGET
Brazil surprised most investors on Wednesday, announcing a larger-than-expected cut to its 2009 primary budget surplus target, to 2.5 percent of gross domestic product from 3.8 percent. [ID:nN15516613]
Finance Minister Guido Mantega set a surplus target of 3.3 percent of GDP for the next three years, [ID:nN15516613]
"Our view is still positive on Brazil despite the lower primary surplus target as we think lower real rates and fiscal stimuli will aid the economy to avoid recession and post 0.5 percent - 1 percent growth this year," wrote analysts at BullTick Capital Markets.
The budget ministry also projected economic growth of 4.5 percent in 2010 and inflation of 4.5 percent annually for 2010 through 20112
The U.S. Treasury Department declined to name China a currency manipulator, backing down from tough talk last year when Barack Obama, then campaigning for president, said Beijing was keeping its currency unfairly low. [ID:nWEQ000881]
NEW ISSUES
More new debt issues are coming to the market, as credit markets further unclog after the financial crisis effectively shut them down.
Indonesia is looking to sell its first-ever global Islamic bond as early as Thursday, the government said, ending the delay from late last year at the height of the crisis. The deal is for a five-year U.S. dollar-denominated sukuk, expected to be as much as $500 million-$600 million. [ID:nHKG129721]
Industrial Bank of Korea (024110.KS: Quote, Profile, Research) set guidance of 525-550 basis points over midswaps, the measure of interest between floating and fixed rates, for a five-year U.S. dollar-denominated bond expected to be as much as $1 billion, sources told Reuters on Wednesday. [ID:nHKG260686].
Brazilian telecommunications company Telemar Norte Leste SA is to issue as much as $750 million worth of 10-year notes [ID:nN14344733]. Russia's Gazprom could issue $2 billion worth of 10-year Eurobonds. Sources said the deal, with a three-year put option, is expected to pay a 9.25-9.5 percent coupon. [ID:nLF508474]
"Both Telemar and Gazprom seem to be going a little slowly," said one fund manager who asked for anonymity given the firm does business with the various underwriters.
"Gazprom is priced pretty tightly ... Telemar I think is being handicapped by the fact that it is doing a parallel $1 billion deal in the local market which is creating some noise and confusion," the fund manager said. (Editing by Dan Grebler)
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