DEALTALK-UPDATE 1-US govt could hinder EMC bid for Data Domain
(For other Reuters Dealtalks click on [DEALTALK/])
* U.S. government could hinder EMC bid for Data Domain
* EMC seen weaker than NetApp in initial FTC review
* More news expected in about two weeks (Adds comment from attorney Evan Stewart)
By Jim Finkle
BOSTON, June 18 (Reuters) - The U.S. government could hinder EMC Corp's (EMC.N) $1.8 billion bid for Data Domain Inc (DDUP.O) as antitrust regulators are expected to scrutinize it more closely than a competing offer by NetApp Inc (NTAP.O).
While by far the bigger company, EMC is in a more precarious antitrust position than its smaller rival because EMC is the largest player in the market for so-called data reduction technology in which Data Domain specializes.
Both bids are being reviewed by the U.S. Federal Trade Commission, but antitrust experts and industry analysts say EMC's offer could get delayed for weeks or months, while they expect NetApp's to win quick approval.
"If there is a question mark from FTC, it could drag for months. In that situation, shareholders would probably be leaning towards saying 'I'll take the offer from NetApp,'" said Wedbush Morgan Securities analyst Kaushik Roy.
Data Domain helps businesses save money on storage space by deleting duplicate data before they back it up. The technology is one of the few, fast-growing segments of the slumping data storage market.
NetApp initially agreed to pay $25 a share for Data Domain, before EMC stepped in with a $30-a-share tender offer direct to shareholders that compelled NetApp to raise its bid.
Data Domain shareholders have yet to vote on NetApp's cash and stock offer, while EMC's cash offer expires on June 29.
Neither deal can go through unless the FTC decides a merger would not violate U.S. antitrust laws. The agency began examining both proposals on Monday and has about two more weeks to either give a quick thumbs up or initiate a longer review.
It took the FTC weeks to start its reviews because of a turf war to get the case away from the Department of Justice.
"EMC has a strike and a half against it in just trying to deal with the situation because the FTC had to fight to get here. It's very hard to avoid a challenge to the deal after fighting to get the deal," said Stephen Axinn, senior partner with Axinn Veltrop Harkrider, who formerly worked in the DOJ's antitrust division.
EMC spokesman Michael Gallant disagreed. "Nothing has changed our expectation that EMC will receive a routine review by the FTC and that we will gain regulatory approval in a timely fashion," he said.
Evan Stewart, an antitrust attorney with Zuckerman Spaeder, said that he suspects the FTC will likely scrutinize both deals closely, which could mean delayed reviews for both EMC and NetApp.
"The Obama administration said publicly they are going to take a more activist stand with respect to deals of this sort, particularly in the high-tech area," he said.
Some analysts said that both EMC and NetApp's proposals for Data Domain will ultimately be cleared, but cautioned that regulators likely will want extra time to review EMC's bid because it is the leader in the field.
EMC pulled in about $90 million worth of sales from data reduction technology in its most recent quarter and it estimates that annual revenue from that business would quickly soar to $1 billion if it acquires Data Domain.
That would make it the largest player in a market that industry researcher Gartner projects is worth about $3 billion a year. EMC disagrees, saying the market is worth $10 billion.
The No. 2 provider of the technology is Data Domain, whose sales totaled $80 million in its most recent quarter.
The rest of the market is shared by companies whose sales pale by comparison. They include Symantec Corp (SYMC.O), International Business Machines Corp (IBM.N) and Quantum Corp (QTM.N), which has a partnership with EMC.
EMC also stands out as a leader because it offers the broadest line of data reduction technology -- selling three types of products within that category, according to Enterprise Strategy Group analyst Brian Babineau.
Data Domain and NetApp each sell only one major type of data deduplication product, which do not overlap with each other.
"It appears that the EMC deal is more challenging because there is overlap in the kind of products and because they are No. 1 and No. 2 in the industry," said Bruce McDonald, an antitrust lawyer with Jones Day and former U.S. deputy assistant attorney general.
If both bids come out of the antitrust review as equals, then EMC will be in a stronger position because it has the bigger balance sheet. EMC has the ability to raise its all-cash offer as high as $35 per share, according to people familiar with its strategy. [ID:nN1264999] (Reporting by Jim Finkle and Tiffany Wu; Editing by Richard Chang and Matthew Lewis)
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