HIGHLIGHTS-Comments from officials at IMF/World Bank meetings
WASHINGTON, April 25 (Reuters) - The following are quotes from world finance officials attending spring meetings of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank in Washington.
Group of Seven finance ministers and central bankers, meeting ahead of the weekend IMF/World Bank meetings, on Friday said economic activity should begin to recover later this year. However, they said the outlook remained weak and there was a risk that the global economy may still worsen. > For a text of the G7 communique, see [ID:nN24515491] > For a Take a Look of top stories on the G7, G20 and IMF, World Bank meetings, see [G7/G8]
IMF CHIEF DOMINIQUE STRAUSS-KAHN ON 2010 STIMULUS:
"It depends a lot (on) the effectiveness of the stimulus of 2009. It's difficult to define what will be the need for 2010 before having an assessment on the result of what is done in 2009. In turn, it depends on the effort that will be made on the cleansing of the (bank) balance sheets. If what we ask... on the side of the banking sector is done, then the result of the stimulus in 2009 will be very big. And then probably what is already forecast as a stimulus for 2010 may be enough. In other cases, it will need more."
STRAUSS-KAHN ON DISAGREEMENTS ON TIMING OF EXIT STRATEGY:
"Unfortunately, it is not the Europeans on one side and the Americans on the other. That would be too easy."
"It is not so much a different strategy, it is a different appreciation of the urgency. Those who think that things are improving, and finally we have more green lights than red lights, they say it is time to think about exit strategy. Some others, more concerned by the depth of the crisis today, say OK, certainly we need to talk about exit strategy, but first let's talk about what has to be done today."
IMF'S JOHN LIPSKY ON IMF ESTIMATES OF BANK LOSSES
"Those figures refer to write-downs of assets. At the same time, banks are making profits on their current incomes. So the whole picture is much more complex to come up with a figure of what the implication is for the results of the actual banks, what they might need for recapitalization etc. What we were estimating was the write-downs from existing assets, which will be compensated, at least in part, by other activities of the bank".
IMFC CHAIRMAN YOUSSEF BOUTROS-GHALI
"We have serious problems. We are taking very serious measures, but things are beginning to look up. Carefully, cautiously, we can say there is a break in the clouds."
ECB'S CHRISTIAN NOYER ON COMPETITIVE DEVALUATIONS:
"We must avoid strategies of competitive devaluation."
"I think there is a real agreement on that... We know the Americans are totally on that line."
"I think we have not seen any, that's why I say everyone agrees."
ECB'S GUY QUADEN ON ECONOMY:
"We are still in a severe recession, but it seems that in different parts of the world including the euro zone, the slowdown has begun to moderate and after a dramatic last quarter of 2008 and a very bad first quarter of 2009 the second quarter of 2009 could be better -- let's say, less bad.
"We are not at yet at the turning point of economic activity."
QUADEN ON PROSPECTS FOR MONETARY POLICY:
"The next rendezvous for the Governing Council of the ECB is on May 7...On that occasion a new cut for our main interest rate is surely not excluded, it will probably be moderate, but it would bring our main rate to a new, historically low level.
"We will also discuss and probably decide other non-conventional measures.
"For the meeting after May -- I am a pragmatic, absolutely not a dogmatic. My own assessment of what will be most the appropriate rate and other decisions in the coming months will depend on the information I will receive.
"I think that the risks for deflation in the euro zone remain limited, but they exist and they have to be closely monitored."
ITALIAN CENTRAL BANK GOVERNOR MARIO DRAGHI ON DEFLATION:
"The risk the global economy is still facing is one of a deepening recession. In contrast with past years, there isn't a risk of inflation, but of deflation, not of a worsening of economic imbalances, but of deepening economic contraction and a risk of rising unemployment. These are short-term risks.
"Then, there are long-term risks deriving from higher public debt. We will have to tackle these long-term risks with exit strategies."
DRAGHI ON RECOVERY AND TRADE:
"It is too early to say that the worst is behind the global economy even if there is a long list of macroeconomic indicators that are less bad than before. There are not signs yet of an improvement for international trade flows."
DRAGHI ON EXIT STRATEGIES:
"We had a discussion during the IMFC breakfast on exit strategies. In particular we talked about what to do with the bank stakes owned by governments... because no-one thinks that governments could own banks forever. We talked also about the need to cut public debt, that continues to rise. And we discussed exit strategies for monetary policies. But the crisis is still going on, so it is difficult to talk about exit strategies in detail."
DRAGHI ON IMF ESTIMATES FOR BANKS LOSSES:
"IMF estimates for losses at European banks are very approximate because it is based on several complex assumptions and historical data."
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