US CREDIT-Ford likely to pursue further debt restructurings
By Karen Brettell
NEW YORK, June 25 (Reuters) - Ford Motor Co (F.N: Quote, Profile, Research) is likely to pursue additional debt restructurings that may include a debt exchange, or a debt to equity swap, as the company burns through cash and takes on new government loans.
Ford, the only U.S. automaker not to file for bankruptcy protection this year, is expected to tap government loan commitments that will increase its debt at the same time as a pullback in consumer spending is hammering demand for automobiles.
As the company's leverage, a measure of debt relative to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA), climbs, Ford may seek to swap debt for new debt at less than its par value, or exchange bonds for equity.
"We are concerned that the company's leverage may reach unsustainable levels," Kirk Ludtke, analyst at CRT Capital Group, said in a report on Thursday. "It seems likely that Ford will need to de-lever its balance sheet by pursuing additional equity and/or debt exchanges."
The company also may face a significant payment in 2011 when its $10 billion credit facility matures, he said.
A spokesperson for Ford declined comment.
Alan Mulally, Chief Executive at the automaker, said last week that the company plans to further reduce debt, but didn't give specifics. The automaker has a sound balance sheet and expects to return to profitability in 2011, he added.
Ford in April reduced its debt by around $10 billion by repurchasing bonds and loans at significant discounts to their par value and exchanging convertible debt for stock.
The company also raised $1.4 billion in an equity offering in May.
As the company taps government loans and continues to burn through cash its gross debt levels are likely to increase to around 4 times its EBITDA and "auto companies should not be levered more than 2 times," JPMorgan equity analysts said in a report sent on Wednesday.
By comparison, the new General Motors will have 1.5 times gross debt to EBITDA, they said.
Ford has benefited from issuing equity and reducing debt at opportune times in the markets and is likely to make further restructurings that could include a debt exchange or stock sale as markets permit, said Shelly Lombard, analyst at credit research firm Gimme Credit.
"Mulally has proven to be very savvy about Ford's balance sheet," she said. "He knows the time to get the money is when the market is offering it, not necessarily when you need it because if you wait until you need it you may not be able to get it."
Ford's debt prices have risen since the tender offer in April, which leaves them with less ability to gain from buying back its debt at discount levels, said CRT's Ludtke.
"As a consequence, we believe that Ford could turn to a coercive debt exchange in order to de-lever the company," he said.
Ford's 7.45 percent bonds due 2031, for example, have risen to 55 cents on the dollar, from 19.7 cents in early March before the company launched its tender offer, according to MarketAxess. (Editing by James Dalgleish)
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