EMERGING MARKETS-Stocks post largest 1-month gain in 14 years
* Emerging stocks post strongest monthly rally in 14 years
* Mexico shuts down to avoid spread of flu virus
* Colombian cenbank cuts rate by 100 bps, economy stalls
* Chile's industrial output falls for sixth straight month
*
By Walter Brandimarte
NEW YORK, April 30 (Reuters) - Emerging equity markets dropped on Thursday but staged their strongest monthly rally in more than 14 years in April as positive U.S. economic data raised hopes that the recession is abating.
The MSCI stock index for emerging markets .MSCIEF soared 16.24 percent in April, its best performance since Dec. 1994, following sizable gains of 14.15 percent in March.
The Latin American portion of the MSCI indicator .MILA00000PUS jumped 15.78 percent in April after gains of 10.64 percent in March.
"The market is euphoric, it reminds me of the last year's highs," said Luiz Roberto Monteiro, investment analyst at Souza Barros brokerage in Sao Paulo, warning against a possible "bubble" in stock prices.
But Latin American stocks gave back part of their recent gains, as Wall Street retreated on anxiety related to a bankruptcy filing by Chrysler LLC.
The MSCI stock index for Latin America closed 0.28 percent lower, with Mexico's IPC index .MXX declining 0.82 percent.
Mexican financial markets have been seesawing during the past few days as economists try to gauge the economic impact of a deadly flu outbreak in the country. On Thursday the government ordered the shutdown of government offices and private businesses not crucial to the economy, in an attempt to avoid further spreading of the virus. [ID:nSP370581]
Chile's blue-chip stock index IPSA .IPSA dropped 1.61 percent mainly on profit taking, analysts said, as the country's poor industrial production data, released earlier in the session, came in mostly in line with estimates.
Chilean industrial production fell 7.1 percent in March compared with the same month a year earlier, following a 11.5 percent decline in February. [ID:nN30303472]
In Brazil, however, the Bovespa stock index .BVSP managed to close with modest gains of 0.13 percent, while in Argentina the MerVal rose 0.36 percent.
Latin American currencies posted a mixed performance on Thursday. Currencies closed lower in Brazil, Mexico and Colombia, but higher in Argentina, Chile and Peru.
The Brazilian real (BRBY: Quote, Profile, Research) weakened 0.5 percent to 2.182 per dollar, but still ended the month with gains of about 2 percent. Analysts said the real seems to be stabilizing around 2.2 per greenback.
The Mexican peso MXN=MEX01 lost 1.72 percent to 13.8435 per dollar at the central bank's final reference, hurt by fears that the flu outbreak will further hurt the country's battered economy.
The Colombian peso COP=RR edged 0.13 percent lower to 2,294.95 per dollar, with investors cautious before a central bank's monetary policy decision.
After the foreign exchange market closed, the Colombian central bank cut interest rates by 100 basis points to 6.0 percent, its fifth cut in as many months. [ID:nN30536739]
After the decision, central bank governor Jose Dario Uribe said the bank is revising its growth forecast for the Colombian economy to a "rate not very different from zero." The bank previously expected the economy to expand between 1 percent and 3 percent this year. (Additional reporting by Alberto Alerigi Jr in Sao Paulo)
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