U.S. growth surprises but consumers stressed

Wed Apr 30, 2008 8:07pm BST
 
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By Glenn Somerville

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - A buildup in inventories kept the U.S. economy afloat in the first quarter despite the weakest consumer spending since 2001 and reduced business investment, a government report on Wednesday showed.

Gross domestic product grew at a 0.6 percent annual rate in the first quarter, the Commerce Department said. That matched the fourth quarter's advance and topped forecasts for 0.2 percent growth, but it did not end the debate on whether the country was sliding into recession.

Some economists said the report suggested the U.S. economy was on a bit firmer ground than had been thought, but others braced for worse times ahead as businesses ratchet back production further to try to sell off inventories.

"There are some very troubling signs in this report," said economist Paul Ashworth of Capital Economics Ltd in London. "The GDP figure is being flattered by the strength of demand abroad and an involuntary inventory accumulation."

Nonetheless, stock prices were up solidly at midday, buoyed by hopes that employment will hold up. ADP Employer Services said it found private-sector companies added 10,000 jobs in April, a sharp contrast to forecasts that they would cut jobs.

The government is set to issue its report on April employment this Friday and forecasts are that 80,000 more jobs will be cut. Jobs were lost in each of the first three months this year.

HOUSING STILL WEIGHS

The economy is burdened by a crisis-stricken housing sector in which prices are declining, sapping consumer optimism and heightening concern that spending will shrivel in coming months and raise risks of a recession.  Continued...

 
A share trader is pictured behind a mock one dollar bill and a mock 500 Euro note symbolizing a consumer credit note, at the German stock exchange in Frankfurt, December 18, 2008. REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach
Credit headwind

News headlines speak of recovery, but financing is still a big problem in Germany. The dearth of credit to tide firms over is frustrating policymakers, who are blaming reluctant banks and there is little agreement on how best to increase lending flows.  Full Article 

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