Factory inflation soars

Mon Apr 14, 2008 12:51pm BST
 
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By Matt Falloon and Raissa Kasolowsky

LONDON (Reuters) - Manufacturers hiked prices in March at the fastest rate since 1991, faced with the strongest rise in costs since records began in 1986, data showed on Monday, raising the risk of a sharp consumer price spike.

The stronger than expected figures, which the Bank of England did not see before it cut interest rates to 5 percent last week, highlight the tricky balancing act facing policymakers this year as the economy slows but inflation accelerates.

The central bank is widely expected to cut rates again this year and policymakers argue a slowing economy will help tame inflation in due course, but they may find it harder to justify several more rate cuts if prices continue to surge higher.

"We maintain that so long as the credit crunch can be contained over the coming months, the Bank will remain cautious about cutting rates further," said David Page, an economist at Investec.

The Office for National Statistics said unadjusted output prices rose 0.9 percent on the month in March, taking the annual rate up to 6.2 percent, above analyst forecasts for a slight easing and the highest annual rate since May 1991.

Annual input price inflation also came in stronger than expected, rising to a record 20.4 percent in March from 19.9 percent in February. Analysts had expected a reading of 19.3 percent.

"This clearly illustrates inflation pressures building up at a producer level and heralds further CPI pressure over the coming months," Page said.

FEEDING THROUGH  Continued...

 
A share trader is pictured behind a mock one dollar bill and a mock 500 Euro note symbolizing a consumer credit note, at the German stock exchange in Frankfurt, December 18, 2008. REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach
Credit headwind

News headlines speak of recovery, but financing is still a big problem in Germany. The dearth of credit to tide firms over is frustrating policymakers, who are blaming reluctant banks and there is little agreement on how best to increase lending flows.  Full Article 

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