DEALTALK-Private equity investment in US banks may pick up

By Paritosh Bansal and Megan Davies

NEW YORK (Reuters) - With U.S. banks struggling to raise new capital and a cutback in lending threatening to deepen the economic downturn, chances are increasing that regulators will relax rules that have deterred private equity from investing in banks and thrifts.

A major break from the past is not likely, but buyout firms expect regulators to bring more clarity to existing rules and feel they may be able to push the envelope on the current system. That could lead to more private equity stakes in banks and thrifts, and even prompt takeovers, said a lawyer who has spoken with regulators on the matter.

The U.S. Federal Reserve could clarify rules governing minority investments of less than 25 percent as early as next month, said the lawyer, who did not want to be identified because of the sensitive nature of discussions with regulators. The Fed declined to comment.

Private equity firms have been eyeing troubled banks and thrifts as investment opportunities as the credit crisis has taken a toll on share prices.

Randal Quarles, managing director at Carlyle Group, one of the world's largest buyout firms with $83 billion under management, forecasts that many of the investments will be minority stakes -- which can be accomplished without dramatic changes in the Fed's rules.

Quarles, previously undersecretary of the U.S. Treasury, said there could be an uptick in investment activity before the end of the year.

"It is going to be hard to raise (capital) in the public markets, particularly for depository institutions," he said. "I think that's going to drive a lot of private equity deals."

Buyout shops are also optimistic that regulators, on a base-by-case basis, will be more open than they were even six months ago to deals involving a change of control, said the lawyer, who represents private equity firms.