SCENARIOS: No quick fix in sight for Honduras crisis

By Daniel Trotta

TEGUCIGALPA (Reuters) - Honduras was locked in crisis on Friday with both men who claim to be the legitimate president after the June 28 coup each sticking to conflicting and seemingly intractable positions.

Ousted President Manuel Zelaya insists he should be reinstated immediately but has been shut out of his country, traveling the Americas in search of international support.

Interim President Roberto Micheletti, installed by Congress after the coup, says Zelaya disqualified himself by violating the constitution when he pursued a vote meant to gauge public support for a constituent assembly on lifting presidential term limits.

Following are possible scenarios on how the crisis could play out:

THE STATUS QUO HOLDS:

This would seem the most likely scenario at the moment.

Micheletti could continue to ignore calls from the United States and the Organization of American States to reinstate Zelaya, keep himself in power until November 29 elections and hand over to a new president for the January 27 inauguration.

Micheletti has the support of the Supreme Court, a majority in Congress, the high command of the armed forces and business leaders, all of whom played a role in stripping Zelaya of power and expelling him from the country.