Worst behind us but more stimulus needed-Roubini

Thu Jul 16, 2009 11:36pm BST
 
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By Walter Brandimarte

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Nouriel Roubini, one of the few economists who accurately predicted the magnitude of the financial crisis, said on Thursday that the worst of the turmoil has passed.

But Roubini emphasized the United States will still need a second fiscal stimulus, possibly by the end of this year, as the unemployment rate quickly approaches 10 percent.

Developed economies are bottoming out or close to doing so, but the recovery will be anemic, with the United States remaining in recession throughout the year, said Roubini, who is chairman of RGE Global Monitor.

"There is light at the end of the tunnel, there is a bottoming out of the U.S. and of the global economy. And the light at the end of the tunnel for once is not an incoming train," Roubini told investors at an event organised by the Chilean government in New York.

"In many ways, the worst is behind us in terms of economic and financial conditions."

Stock markets rallied after some news reports quoted Roubini as saying the recession will be over this year and that his economic outlook had improved.

He issued a statement late Thursday that "despite those reports -- however -- my views expressed today are no different than the views I have expressed previously. If anything, my views were taken out of context."

During the event, Roubini said U.S. labor markets will continue to deteriorate until the end of the year, forcing the government to deliver a second fiscal stimulus that could be in the range of $200 billion (121.7 billion pounds) to $250 billion.  Continued...

 
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