TEXT-Moody's sees pressure on Aust/NZ power sector rtgs
(The following statement was released by the rating agency)
May 9 - Moody's Investors Service believes the stable outlook on the Australian and New Zealand power sector is trending towards negative, as intense mergers and acquisitions (M&A) activities continue to pressure ratings in the sector. Such activities are offsetting the sector's solid operating fundamentals that are supportive of a broad investment-grade credit profile.
"The willingness of parties to pursue highly leveraged funding structures in these transactions means an actual deterioration in sector credit quality is likely," Moody's says in a new report.
The report - entitled Stable Credit Fundamentals Pressured by Intense M&A Activities - looks at the outlook for Australia and New Zealand's electricity and gas industry. The report is authored by Clement Chong, a Moody's VP/Senior Analyst. Besides M&As, it examines a broad range of topics, including sector leverage, regulatory environments, and energy retail.
Moody's rates 27 power utilities - involved in either electricity or gas or both - in Australia and New Zealand. "M&As activities have continued unabated in recent times, as evidenced by the sales of Alinta and Origin Energy's infrastructure assets as well as the privatization of Queensland electricity and gas retailers," says Chong.
"Such debt-funded transactions add to already highly leveraged levels and will pressure the sector's credit profile," says Chong.
Reflecting this trend, Moody's is now reviewing the ratings of three utility companies: the Alinta group of companies, SP AusNet group and Babcock & Brown Infrastructure.
"At present, 9 out of the 27 ratings are on review for possible downgrade, and 1 on review with direction uncertain," says Chong, adding, "these reviews were all prompted by M&A activities".
"The sector's M&A activities have coincided with the emergence of listed infrastructure funds. However, non-funds players - such as Alinta Ltd, AGL Energy, Australian Pipeline Group and Origin Energy - had also signaled their growth intentions many times," says Chong.
The investment appetites of these players appear to have expanded to include offshore utility assets, given the dwindling number available for sale domestically at reasonable prices. The report can be found at www.moodys.com.
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