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By Aidan Lewis
TUNIS Dec 8 As Islamic State's last defences
crumbled this week in their Libyan bastion Sirte, dozens of
women and children used as human shields stumbled dazed and
dust-caked from the rubble.
Fighters from the armed groups that defeated the jihadists
feted the end of a punishing six-month battle by flying Libyan
flags over the Mediterranean city, once known mainly as the home
town of late dictator Muammar Gaddafi, more recently as the main
stronghold outside Syria and Iraq of Islamic State's caliphate.
But the campaign has been far from the unifying event some
had hoped for. Celebrations have been muted by the risk of
jihadist counter attacks and the potential for renewed war among
Libya's military factions.
The past week's developments give a measure of the chaos
still enveloping Libya, five years after the NATO-backed
uprising that overthrew Gaddafi.
Just hours after the last district in Sirte was cleared,
fighters in a newly formed force swept up from the desert south
of the city towards Libya's Oil Crescent, looking to recapture
ports that had changed hands three months before.
Tripoli has seen its worst clashes for more than a year as
the capital's militias rolled tanks onto the streets in a feud
infused with ideological and political disputes.
And in the main city in the east, the self-styled Libyan
National Army (LNA) continued to suffer heavy casualties as it
struggles to secure parts of Benghazi against Islamist-led
rivals after more than two years of warfare.
A half-formed, U.N.-backed government based in the capital
looks increasingly helpless to stop the turmoil - though Western
powers insist that it represents the only path towards peace.
U.N. Libya envoy Martin Kobler told the Security Council
this week that while a peace plan signed a year ago had stalled,
weapons were still being delivered into Libya, the economy was
facing "meltdown", and the country remained a "human
marketplace" for migrants trying to reach Europe.
Gains against militants in Sirte and Benghazi were "not
irreversible", he added.
The campaign in Sirte was led by brigades from Misrata, an
influential port east of Tripoli. They launched their offensive
in May when militants advanced up the coast towards their city.
The U.N.-backed Government of National Accord (GNA)
scrambled to take command, but only ever had nominal control
over fighters on the ground, some of them with different agendas
beyond the campaign in Sirte.
The brigades hoped the battle would be finished in weeks,
but their progress was halted by Islamic State snipers, suicide
bombers and mines. By mid-summer, with casualties mounting and
an official request from the GNA, they called in the help of
U.S. air support. Nearly 500 strikes were carried out over Sirte
between Aug. 1 and early December.
After the last buildings in Sirte's Ghiza Bahriya
neighbourhood were secured on Tuesday, jubilant fighters paraded
through the streets, chanting that the deaths of more than 700
men from within their ranks had not been in vain.
But there have been no such scenes in Misrata, a city whose
fighting force was forged in the 2011 uprising and string of
military campaigns in the years that followed.
"Every time after we win a war we celebrate," said Ahmed
Algennabi, a 28-year-old salesman in a Misrata perfume shop.
"But now I don't think that it's the end of this war, and I
expect more fighting against Islamic State."
Fear of an Islamic State comeback or insurgent campaign is
the stated reason for not declaring an official end to the
operation in Sirte.
Libyan security officials say a significant number of
militants left Sirte before the battle or in its early stages,
and that Islamic State has cells along Libya's western coast as
well as in the hinterlands. Even as the fighting continued in
Sirte's residential neighbourhoods, the group carried out
attacks from behind the front lines, including suicide bombings
and a major ambush.
Military officials say they will now move to deal with this
threat by securing the desert valleys south of Sirte and chasing
down fugitive militants.
But they are also nervous about Khalifa Haftar, the
commander of the LNA in the east, who has fought on the side
opposed to Misrata's brigades in a stop-start national conflict
since 2014, and has recently been boosted by his own military
In September, with Misrata's fighters still tied up in
Sirte, Haftar's forces moved to seize the Oil Crescent ports,
some of them just 200 km (125 miles) to the east, and many see
him edging towards national power.
State control is still absent, and any patriotic feeling
fostered by the campaign in Sirte is likely to dissipate soon,
said Libyan analyst Tarek Megerisi.
"Now it's over it's just back to business as usual, because
none of the divisions have been healed, none of the drivers of
conflict have been stopped or put on hold," he said.
"Everyone's just been manoeuvring, waiting for this to end,
so that they can return to their power struggle."
(Additional reporting by Mohamed Lagha in Misrata; editing by