TABLE-Investor holdings of carbon offsets
(Updates Camco)
July 9 (Reuters) - The Kyoto Protocol on global warming allows companies and countries in the West to meet caps on greenhouse gases from 2008-12 by funding emissions cuts in developing nations.
Western speculators help develop emissions-cutting projects to generate these carbon offsets and profit from price differences around the world.
U.N.-approved carbon offsets, or CERs, for guaranteed 2008 delivery were trading in London at 21.6 euros ($33.96) per tonne on Tuesday, according to the Reuters CER index <CER/RTR>.
The purchase price from developing countries is often well below 10 euros.
The UN Environment Programme (UNEP) Risoe carbon research centre last month estimated the offset pipeline at 1.8 billion tonnes through 2012, worth 39 billion euros ($61.31 billion) at guaranteed delivery prices.
The table below splits the offset pipeline between individual project developers, in millions of tonnes of contracted, avoided carbon dioxide emissions.
Figures include developers' own estimates of their pipelines at various project stages, plus a Reuters estimate using UNEP/Risoe data for projects which have passed the U.N.'s preliminary validation stage.
The Reuters estimate splits offset pipelines equally between participants where there is more than one per project, and adjusts forecasts according to past success rates.
COMPANY REUTERS ESTIMATE COMPANY ESTIMATE
PIPELINE (MLN T) PIPELINE (MLN T) PROJECTS (#) DATE Orbeo/ Rhodia (RHA.PA: Quote, Profile, Research) 117 110 >4 Mar 08 ENEL (ENEI.MI: Quote, Profile, Research) 111 75 N/A N/A Climate Change Capital 91 >65 N/A Aug 07 EcoSecurities (ECO.L: Quote, Profile, Research) 84 120 434 Apr 08 Natsource 80 101 N/A Dec 07 Mitsubishi (8058.T: Quote, Profile, Research) 80 N/A N/A N/A EDF (EDF.PA: Quote, Profile, Research) 67 N/A N/A N/A Tricorona (TRIC.ST: Quote, Profile, Research) 48 68 165 Dec 07 Trading Emissions (TREM.L: Quote, Profile, Research) 46 57 >100 Mar 08 RWE (RWEG.DE: Quote, Profile, Research) 43 48 N/A Jul 07 Camco (CAMIN.L: Quote, Profile, Research) 37 42 >95 Jun 08 Noble Carbon 36 N/A N/A N/A Endesa (ELE.MC: Quote, Profile, Research) 35 N/A N/A N/A European Carbon Fund 21 55 >20 Feb 08 Agrinergy 16 N/A N/A N/A Vitol 14 N/A N/A N/A MGM International 14 60 N/A Jan 07 ICECAP Limited 13 N/A N/A N/A Carbon Resource Management 12 45 102 Mar 08 Deutsche Bank (DBKGn.DE: Quote, Profile, Research) 11 N/A N/A N/A Essent Energy Trading 8 N/A N/A N/A Mitsubishi UFJ Sec. (8306.T: Quote, Profile, Research) 6 N/A N/A N/A Agcert - (Delisted) AGC.L 5 16 695 Jun 07 Carbon Capital Markets 4 N/A N/A N/A Cargill [CARG.UL] 4 N/A N/A N/A Econergy (ECG.L: Quote, Profile, Research) 1 2 11 Jun 07 TOTAL 1,004 Source: UNEP/Risoe Centre Data - cdmpipeline.org
* As little as 60 percent of these company estimates may actually deliver offsets according to some industry forecasts, given various hurdles in a project approval process which includes a U.N. rejection rate of 12 percent
* Some company estimates listed above include a discount to reflect that uncertainty
* Figures may double-count if developers are co-invested in each other
* Analysts estimate potential offset demand from industrialised countries through 2012 at around 2.4 billion tonnes, versus a supply of about 1.8 billion tonnes
© Thomson Reuters 2008 All rights reserved.



