VIENNA (Reuters) - Iran and six world powers re-launched talks on Tuesday to try to salvage a deal on Tehran’s nuclear activity by a July deadline, striving to prevent a long-time standoff from descending into a wider Middle East war.
With time running short if a risky extension of the nuclear talks is to be avoided, negotiators face formidable challenges to bridge gaps in positions over the future scope of Iran’s nuclear programme in less than five weeks.
The talks, coordinated by European Union foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton, stumbled during the last round in mid-May, when diplomats had hoped to start drafting the text of a future agreement. Each side accused the other of lacking realism in their demands and French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius said the negotiations had “hit a wall”.
Although such rhetoric may in part be a negotiating tactic, it also underlines how far the sides are from resolving a dispute that could unleash war in the region. Israel sees a nuclear-armed Iran as an existential threat and has in the past suggested it could carry out air strikes on its installations.
There was little indication whether the sides had moved toward overcoming the deadlock in their initial session on Tuesday. A spokesman for Ashton said only that talks focused on “elements of text that could be part of the final agreement”.
“We are certainly very realistic,” Michael Mann told reporters. “And we hope the Iranian side is as well ... I think things are moving forward.”
Talks are scheduled to last until Friday and resume some time next month before the July 20 deadline.
The powers’ overarching goal is to force Iran to scale back its uranium enrichment programme, denying it any capability to move quickly to production of a nuclear bomb.
Iran denies any such ambition and demands crippling economic sanctions, eased slightly in recent months, be lifted as part of any settlement, something that western governments are loath to do too soon.
The sides also must resolve other complex issues, including the extent of U.N. nuclear watchdog monitoring of Iranian nuclear sites, how long any agreement should run and the future of Iran’s planned Arak research reactor, a potential source of plutonium for atomic bombs.
“We don’t have illusions about how hard it will be to close those gaps, though we do see ways to do so,” a senior U.S. official said on Monday, signalling the pace of diplomacy would intensify in the days and weeks ahead.
However, sounding a cautiously hopeful note after a bilateral U.S.-Iranian meeting in Geneva last week, the official said that “we are engaged in a way that makes it possible to see how we could reach an agreement”, without elaborating.
In Tehran, Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif said: “If the other parties enter in negotiations with realistic views, the possibility of a final agreement exists. But if they act irrationally, we will act in accordance to our national rights.”
Zarif, Ashton and the U.S. delegation, led by Under Secretary of State Wendy Sherman and including Deputy U.S. Secretary of State Bill Burns, held trilateral talks on Monday before the start of formal negotiations on Tuesday.
U.S. and Iranian diplomats also spoke about Iraq. Both Washington and Tehran are alarmed by the rapid advance of insurgents from the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant, which is seeking to revive a mediaeval-style Islamic caliphate across much of Iraq and neighbouring Syria.
On Tuesday, Zarif also met the United Nations watchdog chief, Yukiya Amano, whose inspectors are seeking to investigate suspicions Iran has worked on designing a nuclear bomb, a charge Tehran denies.
In a sign of warming relations between Iran and the West, Britain announced plans on Tuesday to reopen its embassy in Iran with an initially small presence 2 1/2 years after a mob ransacked its Tehran legation.
Britain is negotiating with Iran alongside France, Germany, China, Russia and the United States.
British Foreign Secretary William Hague reiterated, however, that Iran still needed to make compromises for any deal with the six powers to be possible.
“It is important that the negotiations make major progress before July 20, and that will require a more realistic approach by Iran in the negotiations than anything we have seen in recent months,” he said in parliament.
Diplomatic sources have told Reuters that it is increasingly likely Iran will seek an extension of the talks deadline. But Western officials insisted the focus remained on sealing the deal by late next month, noting that any extension must be agreed by all sides and would likely be short.
“If there is an extension if will be for a few weeks,” a diplomat from one of the six powers told Reuters. If a deal were really within reach, the sides should not need six more months.
Some also say that any discussions of an extension might be left until the final days, or hours, before the deadline, an attempt to keep up pressure for a deal that would likely complicate the last stretch of negotiations.
The seven states agreed on the July deadline to reach a comprehensive agreement as part of an interim deal on the decade-old nuclear stalemate in Geneva struck on Nov. 24.
That accord - under which Iran suspended some sensitive nuclear activities in exchange for limited sanctions relief - allowed for a six-month extension if necessary for a settlement.
An extension would have its perils. Analysts say both sides might come under pressure from hardliners at home to toughen the terms during this extra time period, further complicating the chances of a successful outcome. The extent of sanctions relief and Iranian nuclear restraint might also be tough to agree on.
Additional reporting by Louis Charbonneau and Parisa Hafezi in Vienna, William James in London, Arshad Mohammed in Washington and John Irish in Paris; Editing by Mark Heinrich/Ruth Pitchford