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FTSE hits 3-week low on growth concerns, may slide more
September 26, 2012 / 7:16 AM / 5 years ago

FTSE hits 3-week low on growth concerns, may slide more

The London Stock Exchange is seen during ther morning rush hour in the City of London April 11, 2011. REUTERS/Toby Melville

LONDON (Reuters) - The top stock index hit a three-week low on Wednesday, with banks and miners hardest-hit on concern that the euro zone’s problems, highlighted by protests in Spain and Greece, posed a threat to global growth.

Growing talk of secession in Spain’s Catalonia region, a sharp fall in the country’s GDP, clashes at an anti-austerity protest in Greece and news that Greece’s international lenders faced increased tension over how to resolve Athens’ debt crisis all led investors to sell.

The FTSE 100 index finished 91.62 points, or 1.6 percent, lower at 5,768.09, the lowest close since early September. The index suffered its biggest one-day fall in two months. Charts showed that more declines were likely.

“Investors are worried that although central banks around the world have announced more or less unlimited money printing plans, it’s not actually gaining traction. This is possibly keeping government bonds out of trouble, but not stimulating growth,” said Felicity Smith, fund manager at Bedlam Asset Management, which manages about $700 million.

“There are also worries that the ECB’s willingness to buy bonds is dependent on countries like Spain actually asking for help. And so far they have shown reluctance to do so as they know that any request for aid will bring another round of austerity.”

As protesters stepped up anti-austerity demonstrations, Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy prepares to present more painful economic reforms and a tough 2013 budget on Thursday to show that he is trying his best to contain the debt crisis.

Analysts said that continuing problems in Europe, poor progress in U.S. economic recovery and a slowdown in China - the world’s second-biggest economy and a major commodity consumer, had been preventing the global economy from gaining momentum, hurting growth-linked equity sectors such as banks and miners.

The UK mining index fell 2.8 percent, banks were down 2.7 percent and the oil and gas sector was off 1.5 percent. Stocks such as Lloyds, Barclays, BP and Rio Tinto fell 1.7 to 4.2 percent.

“We are now entering the phase where we are dealing with the tangibles and the intangibles. The intangibles relate to the stimulus and questions are being asked whether this should have the desired effect. Whereas the tangibles relate to the stalling economies and higher incidence of profit warnings,” Paul Kavanagh, chairman and partner at Killik Capital, said.

“I believe the markets will become more emotive over the next few weeks which should increase volatility rather than overall direction of financial markets.”

CORRECTION PHASE

Charts showed that the FTSE 100 failed to breach the 5,940 resistance area and has entered a correction phase.

Dmytro Bondar, analyst at RBS, said the index had broken several key pivot points including the 50-day moving average and a 23.6 percent retracement from the June-September extremes, suggesting there would be more downside towards 5,690-5,670 - the area of the 38.2 percent retracement and its 200-day moving average.

The FTSE is expected to add more than 2 percent from now to December, marking an almost 8 percent rise for the year, but further strong gains are unlikely until the corporate earnings picture improves, a Reuters poll found.

Analysts said investors had become cautious on high beta stocks - a measure of a stock’s volatility in relation to the market as a whole - such as banks, which recorded strong gains recently, but their earnings prospects had not improved.

Smith of Bedlam said that investors should look for interesting companies with good growth potential. She liked Anglo-Dutch publishing and events group Reed Elsevier saying the company had a very high cash flow generation, looked in a much better shape and had got a good dividend yield.

Ian Richards, global head of equities strategy at Exane BNP Paribas, said valuations would be the strongest influence on long-term equity returns as the market was looked cheap historically. He saw 12 times forward as the fair value price-to-earnings multiple for the FTSE 100.

According to Thomson Reuters Datastream, the FTSE trades at 10.7 times forecast one-year forward earnings, compared with a 10-year average of 11.5 times and a multiple of 13 for the U.S. S&P 500 index.

Exane said its “UK High Conviction basket” included IMI, Lloyds and Rio Tinto.

Editing by Hugh Lawson

Our Standards:The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
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