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TREASURIES-Yields jump after data shows surging consumer prices
February 15, 2017 / 2:20 PM / in 8 months

TREASURIES-Yields jump after data shows surging consumer prices

* CPI shows largest gain in 4 years
    * Two-year yields highest since Dec. 28
    * Yellen to testify to lawmakers

    By Karen Brettell
    NEW YORK, Feb 15 (Reuters) - Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields
rose to two-and-a-half week highs on Wednesday after data showed
a jump in consumer prices in January, bolstering expectations
that the Federal Reserve is closer to raising interest rates.
    The Labor Department said the Consumer Price Index jumped
0.6 percent last month after gaining 0.3 percent in December.
January's increase in the CPI was the largest since February
2013. 
    "CPI was much higher than expected, both the headline itself
as well as the core number," said Mary Ann Hurley, vice
president in fixed income trading at D.A. Davidson in Seattle.
    In the 12 months through January, the CPI increased 2.5
percent, while the year-on-year core CPI increased to 2.3
percent, both above the Federal Reserve's 2 percent inflation
target.
    Data from the Commerce Department showed retail sales
increased 0.4 percent last month as households bought
electronics and a range of other goods. 
    Wednesday's data came after Fed Chair Janet Yellen adopted a
tone that was more hawkish than expected during testimony to
lawmakers in Washington on Tuesday, which sent yields higher.
    Yellen will testify before the House Financial Services
Committee on Wednesday.
    Benchmark 10-year notes were last down 13/32 in
price to yield 2.52 percent, the highest since Jan. 27.
    Two-year note yields fell 2/32 in price to yield
1.26 percent after getting as high as 1.27 percent, the highest
since Dec. 28.
    The U.S. central bank will likely need to raise rates at an
upcoming meeting, Yellen said on Tuesday, although she flagged
considerable uncertainty over economic policy under the Trump
administration.
    Yellen said delaying rate increases could leave the Fed's
policymaking committee behind the curve and eventually lead it
to hike rates quickly, which she said could cause a recession.
 
    Traders are now pricing in an 22 percent chance of an
interest rate increase at the Fed's March meeting, up from 13
percent on Monday, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool.
    The chances of a hike by the Fed's June meeting rose to 73
percent from 65 percent in the same time frame.

 (Editing by Jeffrey Benkoe)

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