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TABLE-Reuters U.S. primary dealer poll results
September 4, 2015 / 6:31 PM / 2 years ago

TABLE-Reuters U.S. primary dealer poll results

NEW YORK, Sept 4 (Reuters) - These are the results of Reuters poll of U.S. primary dealers
following the latest U.S. non-farm payrolls data from the government on Friday.
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 Primary Dealer       When do     Will the  Where do   Where do   What is the   Has your
                      you expect  Fed hike  you see    you see    probability,  conviction
                      the Fed to  rates     the fed    the fed    in percent,   around a
                      start       more      funds      funds      that the Fed  September rate
                      raising     than      rate at    rate at    will raise    hike
                      rates?      once in   the end    the end    rates by      increased/decr
                                  2015? If  of 2015?   of 2016?   September?    eased/stayed
                                  yes, how                        What about    the same in
                                  many                            by year-end?  the past
                                  hikes?                                        month?
 BAML                 September   Yes (2)   0.50-0.75  1.5-1.75   60/85         Decreased
 Barclays*                                                                      
 BMO                  September   Yes (2)   0.50-0.75  1-1.25     55/85         Decreased
 Bank of Nova Scotia  December    No        0.50       1.75       35/80         Decreased
 BNP Paribas          December    No        0.50       1.625      5/60          Decreased
 Cantor Fitzgerald    September   Yes (2)   0.65       1.75       50/80         Same
 Citigroup*                                                                     
 Credit Suisse        December    No        0.25-0.5   1.25-1.5   40/75         Same
 Daiwa                October     No        0.25-0.50  1.25-1.50  40/70         Decreased
 Deutsche Bank*                                                                 
 Goldman Sachs        December    No        0.375      1.375      NR            NR
 HSBC                 December    No        0.375      0.875      NR            NR
 Jefferies            December    No        0.375      1.125      20/75         Decreased
 JPMorgan*                                                                      
 Mizuho               2016        No        0.25       1          30/30         Same
 Morgan Stanley*                                                                
 Nomura               December    No        0.25-0.5   1.25-1.5   25/66         Decreased
 RBC                  September   Yes (2)   0.75       2.25       50            Decreased
 RBS                  September   Yes (2)   0.5-0.75   2-2.25     70/90         Increased
 Societe Generale     September   No        0.375      1.375      55/90         Decreased
 TD Securities        March 2016  No        0.25       1          40            Same
 UBS                  September   Yes (2)   0.625      2.125      60/80         Same
                                                                                
 Median               September   No (1)    0.375      1.375      40/80         Decreased
 * Denotes the primary dealer declined or did not respond in time for the poll.
NR - No Response

 (Reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss, Jessica DiNapoli, Sam Forgione, Daniel Bases, Saqib
Ahmed, Richard Leong, Aaradhana Ramesh and Kailish Bathija; Compiled by David Gaffen; Editing
by Chizu Nomiyama)

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