November 8, 2018 / 3:28 PM / 6 months ago

WEEKAHEAD-AFRICA-FX-Traders expect Kenyan shilling, Ghana's cedi to come under pressure

NAIROBI, Nov 8 (Reuters) - Traders expect the Kenyan shilling and Ghana’s cedi to come under pressure next week but predict other African currencies will remain stable.


The Kenyan shilling is seen under pressure due to increased dollar demand from importers of oil and other goods making payments ahead of Christmas and New Year.

Commercial banks quoted the shilling at 101.70/90 per dollar, compared with 101.60/80 at last Thursday’s close.

“There is demand from general importers wishing to make payments ahead of the festive season next month,” a senior trader at one commercial bank said.


Traders said they expect the Uganda shilling shilling to trade in a stable range. Commercial banks quoted it at 3,747/3,757, compared to last Thursday’s close of 3,737/3,747.

“I think most importers have already met their hard currency needs to cover shipments for the December holiday shoppers,” the commercial bank’s trader said, adding the shilling would trade in a range of 3,745 to 3,765 against the dollar.


The cedi could remain under pressure on increasing dollar demand from offshore investors and local businesses needing to settle their last quarter obligations, analysts said.

After rallying 2 percent against the greenback last month, it has since shed some of the gains, despite regular forex sales by the central bank and was trading at 4.8816 to the dollar by mid morning on Thursday, compared to 4.8750 a week ago.

“For the remainder of the week, we see the cedi staying on the back foot; the pair (USD/GHS) is likely to test the 4.90 big figure,” Barclays Bank Ghana said in a market update.


The kwacha is expected to trade within the current range next week and on Thursday, commercial banks quoted the currency of Africa’s second-largest copper producer at 11.7380 per dollar from 11.8500 a week ago.


The Tanzanian shilling is expected to hold steady or appreciate next week due to the cashew nut sale season that began last month.

Mohamed Laseko, Senior Forex Trader at CRDB Bank said the shilling is likely to remain around 2,290/2,295 next week.

“Next week, cashew nuts sales will likely boost the shilling. This will either make the shilling remain stable or appreciate a little bit,” said Laseko. (Reporting by John Ndiso,Elias Biryabarema, Kwasi Kpodo, Chris Mfula and Nuzulack Dausen; Compiled by Chris Mfula; Editing by Alexander Smith)

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