February 12, 2018 / 10:18 AM / 2 months ago

LIVE MARKETS-"We're looking to sell into rallies, not buy on dips"

    Feb 12 (Reuters) - Welcome to the home for real time coverage of European equity markets
brought to you by Reuters stocks reporters and anchored today by Helen Reid. Reach her on
Messenger to share your thoughts on market moves: helen.reid.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net
 
 
    "WE'RE LOOKING TO SELL INTO RALLIES, NOT BUY ON DIPS" (1009 GMT)
    As a relief bounce takes shape across European markets, some investors are still reluctant
to dip their toes back in.
    "We're looking to sell into rallies, not buy on dips," says Daniel Lockyer, senior fund
manager at Hawksmoor.
    Lockyer says the fund has been gradually derisking for some time already.
    "There's almost no more risk to take out of the portfolios or we would have too much cash or
a binary bet on markets going down."
    Other assets could provide a buying opportunity, however.
    "If there's something we like and we own that's not correlated to bonds or equities, like
some of our property funds, if those shares get marked down lower because of everything else, we
don't think anything has fundamentally changed and we might be buying some of those," says
Lockyer.
    JP Morgan strategist Mislav Matejka, on the other hand, is a believer in the relief bounce.
"One should only sell from here if you believe growth will start to disappoint," he writes. 
    (Helen Reid)
    *****
    
    RELIEF FOR EUROPEAN STOCKS (0817 GMT)
    Following the lead in Asian stocks, Europe's markets are looking brighter this morning with
a relief rally taking shape across the major benchmarks, up 1 to 1.3 percent. The cyclicals
sectors which had led the sell-off last week are back in the driving seat: banks, chemicals and
basic resources are the best-performing sectors.
    A mixed bag of stocks are leading gains, with Victrex taking the lead after BAML
gave the UK polymer firm a double upgrade to 'buy'. Also benefiting from broker upgrades to
target price is Umicore, while Credit Suisse is up 2.9 percent, leading the 
banks index, after its shares were particularly badly hit last week as its inverse VIX product
imploded.
    Akzo Nobel is up just 1.3 percent, in line with the market, as investors don't
seem to be overly enthused by an FT report of takeover interest.
    Luxembourg-based telecoms firm SES is falling sharply, however, down 6.8 percent
at the bottom of the STOXX after it announced management changes with its CEO and CFO stepping
down by April 5.
    (Helen Reid)
    *****
    
    
    WHAT WE'RE WATCHING BEFORE THE BELL IN EUROPE (0751 GMT)
    Stock index futures are pointing to a strong rebound in Europe this morning after the
region's equity market lost 5 percent, or around $1 trillion in market cap, during last week's
sell-off. DAX futures were leading the bounce, up 2 percent.    
 
    Shares in Akzo Nobel are expected to rise 1-2 percent after a source-based
Financial Times report said that US private equity giant Apollo had teamed up with the biggest
Dutch pension fund to buy Akzo's 10 billion-euro speciality chemicals unit.
    Eyes also on raft of earning updates, although price moves could be distorted by last week's
broad-based sell off. Heineken will be in the spotlight after the brewer lowered its
margin growth target, blaming a volatile market environment and an acquisition in Brazil. Bayer
however posted a 2017 underlying operating profit that was in line with a Reuters poll forecast.
    Other stock movers: 
    Renault board member quits ahead of CEO succession meeting; 
    Game Digital to open concessions in Sports Direct stores; 
    Standard Life Aberdeen takes on Mexican airport developer in rare move; 
    Airbus ordered to pay $99 mln fine in Eurofighter case; 
    Intesa chairman says sale of bad loan unit won't take long; 
    Italy's Carige bank pledges to act more quickly to cut bad debts; 
    Acacia Mining scraps dividend after profit hit by Tanzania export ban; 
    EU says Bayer Monsanto must not hurt competition in digital farming-paper; 
    Suedzucker sees 2 yr transition after deregulation - Boersen-Zeitung; 
    Ladbrokes Coral reports 4 pct rise in full year revenue; 
    Switzerland's Clariant halts strategic update pending talks with SABIC
    (Danilo Masoni)
    *****   
    
    A "TECHNICAL" CORRECTION, OR MORE FUNDAMENTAL WEAKNESS? (0727 GMT)
    That's the question on everyone's lips after a weekend of mulling over the most serious
sell-off to hit markets in years.
    UniCredit global chief economist Erik Nielsen says while most market commentators have
labelled this correction as mainly "technical", it's worth digging into the reasons why more
fundamental drivers could be at play, especially in the US.
    "My fear of more fundamental weakness relates only to the US, which really is at the centre
of the present markets chaos," writes Nielsen, arguing the US economy may be in more trouble
than widely thought.
    "If US balance sheet issues are causing trouble, then we may be in for a more complicated -
and volatile - ride during 2018 that'll see US equities slide through must of the year, as US
yields climb higher."
    Nielsen sees non-US equities as likely to de-couple therefore, as Europe and Asia benefit
from more moderate valuations, better relative growth and 'much stronger' balance sheets.
    "In contrast to European firms, US companies are much more exposed to rising financing costs
because of recent years' strong increase in net debt," he notes, adding most of this money was
used to inflate shareholder payouts rather than for investment.
    Nielsen adds a word of warning on thinking it's all over too soon: "Corrections are rarely
done within 10 working days. On average these types of disruptions normally rumble on for 30-40
days."
    Fasten your seatbelts...
    (Helen Reid)
    *****
    
    DAX FUTURES SHINE (0713 GMT)
    Stock index futures are pointing to a strong rebound in Europe this morning after the
region's equity market lost 5 percent, or around 1 trillion euros in market cap, during
last week's sell-off.
    DAX futures are leading the advance, up 2 percent, as you can see below. Meanwhile,
S&P 500 e-mini futures are up 0.6 percent.
 
    (Danilo Masoni)
    *****
    
    EUROPEAN HEADLINES: EARLY MORNING ROUND-UP (0646 GMT)
Heineken guides for lower margin growth in 2018
Renault board member quits ahead of CEO succession meeting
Credit Suisse hit by U.S. lawsuit over writedowns, says case "without merit"
Standard Life Aberdeen takes on Mexican airport developer in rare move
Airbus ordered to pay $99 mln fine in Eurofighter case
Intesa chairman says sale of bad loan unit won't take long
Maersk profit miss, outlook put shipping shift in spotlight
Switzerland's Clariant halts strategic update pending talks with SABIC
Ladbrokes Coral reports 4 pct rise in full year revenue
UK's Tesco is plans a chain of discount stores -Sunday Times
Cardiff University defends joint venture with Apple supplier IQE
Italy's Carige bank pledges to act more quickly to cut bad debts
MEDIA-French insurer CNP could be merged with La Banque Postale -report
BRIEF-CGG Raises About 112.2 Million Euros In Rights Issue
Switzerland's Clariant halts strategic update pending talks with SABIC   
Vontobel must pay 13.3 mln euros over untaxed German assets    
Nestle buys majority stake in organic food company Terrafertil   
EU says Bayer Monsanto must not hurt competition in digital farming-paper
BMW close to 10-year supply deal for battery minerals - FAZ   
Porsche, Audi to develop joint electric car platform to save costs   
South Africa's Wiese slashes stake in Steinhoff to 6.2 pct   
Suedzucker sees 2 yr transition after deregulation - Boersen-Zeitung
BRIEF-Carl Zeiss Meditec Sees FY Adj EBIT Margin At 14-16 Pct
    (Danilo Masoni)
    *****     
    
    ETF, DARK POOL TRADING BALLOONED DURING SELL-OFF (0634 GMT)
    Stats from last week's sell-off reveal exchange-traded funds saw massive trading volumes on
the London Stock Exchange, while the exchange's dark pool cleared record amounts of trades as
investors sought to put through large block trades incognito.
    Last Tuesday was the strongest day of ETF trading activity ever on the LSE, a spokeswoman
said, with some 1.3 billion pounds traded in ETFs. 
    Dark pool Turquoise saw a record amount processed in its large block platform Plato Block
Discovery, with 2.46 billion euros in trading over the week as investors sought to put through
big trades without moving the market. 
    Turquoise overall beat its previous weekly record by 18 percent, with 7.43 billion euros
worth of trades executed in the dark.
    (Helen Reid)
    *****
    
    MORNING CALL: A TENTATIVE BOUNCE? (0622 GMT)
    Good morning and welcome to Live Markets. 
    European investors will be returning to their desks this morning having had time to digest
the past week's events, and a tentative bounce in European stocks could give them hope, while
volatility is set to stay elevated. 
    Asian stock markets recovered overnight with S&P futures also trading higher, but investors
were looking ahead to U.S. consumer prices data due out on Wednesday for the next potential sign
of inflation rising at a concerning pace.
    Spreadbetters call the DAX 175 points higher at 12,281.8, the CAC 40 up 56 points at
5,135.1, and the FTSE 100 83 points higher at 7,175.5. 
    (Helen Reid)
    *****

    
 (Reporting by Danilo Masoni, Helen Reid, Kit Rees and Julien Ponthus)
  
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