July 16, 2020 / 7:40 AM / a month ago

Peripheral euro zone bond yields steady as ECB meeting looms

* Euro zone periphery govt bond yields tmsnrt.rs/2ii2Bqr

By Dhara Ranasinghe

LONDON, July 16 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields held broadly steady on Thursday, with borrowing costs in the periphery near their lowest levels since March before a European Central Bank meeting widely expected to pause after a series of extraordinary moves.

Italy’s 10-year bond yield is down almost 30 basis points since the ECB ramped up its emergency bond-buying scheme on June 4 to support an economy hit by the COVID-19 crisis.

As the economy stabilises, some ECB board members have suggested the entire Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme “envelope” - boosted to 1.35 trillion euros ($1.52 trillion) in June - might not be spent.

The challenge for ECB chief Christine Lagarde is to acknowledge data is improving but reiterate her commitment to stimulus given the uncertain outlook.

Aggressive ECB action has stabilised markets and helped narrow euro area bond spreads that widened in March when coronavirus-panic gripped markets.

“Lagarde is likely to emphasise that the PEPP envelope is a ceiling, that there is no obligation to go as far as the 1.35 trillion euros but the expectation is that they will do more,” said Chris Scicluna, head of economic research at Daiwa Capital Markets.

Italy’s 10-year bond yield hovered around 1.27%, having touched its lowest since late March on Wednesday at around 1.25%. Germany’s benchmark Bund yield was a touch lower at -0.45% as the ECB meeting and a European Union summit, starting on Friday, loomed.

The ECB delivers its decision at 1145 GMT, followed by Lagarde’s press conference at 1230 GMT.

“This will be a non-event with a big test for Lagarde’s communication skills,” Carsten Brzeski, chief economist for the euro zone at ING told the Reuters Global Markets Forum this week. “The real action will and can only come once we have July macro data. This will be for the September or October meeting.”

Analysts saw a chance the ECB could increase the amount of bank excess reserves it exempts from being charged at the -0.50% deposit rate to help offset the impact of negative interest rates on the banking sector.

Reporting by Dhara Ranasinghe; editing by Barbara Lewis

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