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FOREX-Dollar hold gains on hawkish Yellen, investors eye US inflation data
February 15, 2017 / 12:43 AM / 9 months ago

FOREX-Dollar hold gains on hawkish Yellen, investors eye US inflation data

* Dollar hovers near 3-1/2-week high after Yellen’s testimony

* U.S. CPI, retail sales due later in the day

* Euro pressured by political risks in France

By Yuzuha Oka

TOKYO, Feb 15 (Reuters) - The dollar stood tall on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen signalled a faster pace of U.S. interest rate increases at her two-day testimony before Congress.

Yellen told the U.S. Senate Banking Committee the central bank will likely need to raise interest rates at one of its upcoming meetings, although she expressed caution amid considerable uncertainty over economic policy under the Trump administration.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against its six major peers, rose to a 3-1/2-week high of 101.38 on Tuesday following Yellen’s remarks. The index was last up 0.1 percent at 101.27.

“Investors didn’t expect Yellen to be that hawkish, so the dollar gained,” said Ayako Sera, market strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank.

“There are no big factors preventing the Fed from raising rates in March. Unless the emerging markets become volatile or the U.S. economic data shows weakness, the March rate hike is highly plausible,” added Sera.

U.S. interest rates futures implied traders saw about a 20 percent chance of three rate increases in 2017, up from less than 10 percent on Monday.

Since the end of the 2007-09 recession, the Fed has raised rates once in December 2015 and again in December of last year.

President Donald Trump has announced a rollback of financial regulation though details remain scarce, and markets are yet to get clarity on the size and scope of the tax cuts he has promised.

“Changes in fiscal policy or other economic policies could potentially affect the economic outlook,” said Yellen, underscoring the uncertainty over economic policy.

The dollar was fetching 114.28 yen, not far from the two-week peak of 114.49 yen touched on Tuesday.

The euro was last down 0.1 percent at $1.0572, wallowing near a one-month low of $1.0559 plumbed on Tuesday amid political risk and disappointing regional economic data.

The euro has come under pressure from concerns about France’s presidential election and Greek bailout talks. Polls showed National Front leader Marine Le Pen, who has promised to pull France out of the euro zone and hold a referendum on European Union membership, is leading in the first round of the French presidential runoff.

Investors are eyeing a batch of U.S. economic data due out later on Wednesday, including consumer price index (CPI) and retail sales, for any fresh catalysts..

The CPI is expected to have risen 0.3 percent in January after a similar gain in December, while retail sales are likely to have risen 0.1 percent in January after advancing 0.6 percent the previous month. (Editing by Shri Navaratnam)

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