November 7, 2018 / 12:05 PM / 7 days ago

METALS-Zinc falls to 7-week low on expectations of rising supply

 (Updates with closing prices, recasts)
    By Peter Hobson
    LONDON, Nov 7 (Reuters) - Zinc prices on Wednesday fell to a
seven-week low on expectations that a supply crunch will ease. 
    Benchmark zinc         on the London Metal Exchange (LME)
closed down 1.8 percent at $2,455 a tonne after touching $2,445,
the lowest since Sept. 21. 
    "Smelter margins in China are picking up and the expectation
is that production is set to trend higher into year-end," said
Deutsche Bank analyst Nick Snowdon. 
    "There has been a big build in (zinc) concentrate stocks (in
China) in the last quarter or so ... with treatment charges
picking up and prices stabilising there's a clear incentive for
smelters to ramp up output," he said. 
    Prices of zinc, used to galvanise steel, fell 26 percent
over June-August but have recovered from August's low of $2,283.
    China is the biggest producer and consumer of zinc. 
        
    ZINC STOCKS: Headline inventories in the LME warehouse
system continue to fall. At 134,750 tonnes they are close to a
10-year low of 131,775 tonnes reached in March.
    SPREAD: The premium for cash zinc over the three-month
contract MZN0-3 at $47.50 has eased from highs around $60 in
late October, but signals that shortages of nearby supply
remain.  
    DEFICIT: The roughly 13.5 million tonne global zinc market
had a deficit of 292,000 tonnes in the first eight months of the
year, the International Lead and Zinc Study Group (ILZSG) said.
            
    DOLLAR: Providing some support to metals prices was the
dollar, which weakened after gains by the Democrats in U.S.
elections cast doubt on further tax cuts. A lower dollar makes
metals cheaper for buyers with other currencies.            
              
    CHINA: Despite fears that a U.S.-China trade dispute will
undermine China's economy, exports from the country are expected
to have expanded at a healthy clip in October as businesses
frontal orders before higher U.S. tariffs set in at the turn of
the year, a Reuters poll showed.             
    YUAN: In a sign that authorities may be stepping up
interventions to keep the yuan from weakening, China's foreign
exchange reserves fell more than expected to an 18-month low in
October.             
    CHINA ALUMINA: China's exports of aluminium raw material
alumina last month were roughly equal to September's bumper
volumes, the president of Aluminium Corp of China            
          said.
    PRICES: LME copper         closed down 0.1 percent at $6,153
a tonne, aluminium         finished 1.7 percent higher at
$1,984.50, lead         rose 1 percent to $1,927.50, tin        
ended unchanged at $19,050 and nickel         rose 0.4 percent
to $11,820.
    

    
 (Additional reporting by Mai Nguyen; Editing by Adrian Croft
and David Evans)
  
 
 
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