December 8, 2019 / 11:24 AM / a month ago

China's potential growth below 6% over next five years - central bank adviser

Trucks transport containers at a port in Qingdao, Shandong province, China July 11, 2019. Picture taken July 11, 2019. REUTERS/Stringer ATTENTION EDITORS - THIS IMAGE WAS PROVIDED BY A THIRD PARTY. CHINA OUT. - RC1725C2F290

BEIJING (Reuters) - China’s potential economic growth will be below 6% over the next five years, an adviser to China’s central bank said on Saturday.

The economy could grow between 5% and 6% from 2020 to 2025, Liu Shijin, a policy adviser to the People’s Bank of China, said at a conference in Beijing, according to an article he posted on social media.

China’s monetary policy is already quite loose, and attempting to stimulate the economy to grow faster than its potential could cause it to fall off a cliff, said Liu.

China’s third-quarter economic growth slowed more than expected to 6% year-on-year, marking its weakest pace in almost three decades, and at the bottom end of the government’s full-year target range of 6.0%-6.5%.

Despite the growing strains on the economy caused by slowing domestic demand and a trade war with the United States, Beijing remains reluctant to implement major stimulus for fear of heightening financial risks given already high levels of debt.

China central bank governor Yi Gang reiterated in an article published last week that China will not resort to quantitative easing and is committed to maintaining a prudent monetary policy.

Reporting by Gabriel Crossley; Editing by Elaine Hardcastle

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