June 29, 2018 / 9:04 AM / 2 months ago

Euro zone inflation rises past ECB target on energy, food costs

BRUSSELS/FRANKFURT (Reuters) - Euro zone inflation rose to its highest rate in more than a year this month as surging energy prices pushed price growth above the European Central Bank’s target, even if only temporarily, data from Eurostat showed on Friday.

FILE PHOTO: The signature of the President of the European Central Bank (ECB), Mario Draghi, is seen on the new 50 euro banknote during a presentation by the German Central Bank (Bundesbank) at its headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, March 16, 2017. REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach/File Photo

Inflation in the 19 countries sharing the euro rose to 2 percent in June from 1.9 percent a month earlier, in line with analyst expectations as a big surge in energy costs more than offset a muted rise in the price of services and industrial goods.

The ECB targets inflation at just below 2 percent and has unleashed unprecedented stimulus to revive price growth which has missed this target for five years running after a double-dip recession.

While the latest figures are in line with its objective, inflation is set to slow as the one-off rise in energy costs passes through the numbers.

Indeed, inflation is not expect to hit the ECB’s target in a more sustainable way before 2020, suggesting that any removal in central bank stimulus will be incremental, at best.

In a clear sign that underlying inflation is still muted, price growth excluding volatile food and energy costs, an item closely watched by policymakers, even slowed last month, easing to 1.2 percent from 1.3 percent, as services inflation slowed sharply.

FILE PHOTO: A shopper buys vegetables at a market in Nice southern France, February 28. REUTERS/Eric Gaillard//File Photo

Another core inflation measure, which also excluding alcohol and tobacco prices and tends to be watched by market analysts, eased to 1.0 percent in June, from 1.1 percent in May, meeting expectations.

Still, figures are unlikely to impact ECB policy for now as a set of big decisions this month put the bank on auto pilot at least for a few months.

The euro barely moved on the data and bond yields were broadly unchanged from prior to the release.

Policymakers agreed this month to end a 2.6 trillion euro bond purchase scheme by the close of the year but also pushed out its first rate hike until after the summer of 2019, tempering market expectations for further policy tightening.

With the threat of a global trade war, a general slowdown in growth and unclear budget policies from the new Italian government presenting downside risks for the ECB, analysts argue that an even later move in rates is possible.

Energy prices were up 8.0 percent year-on-year, while unprocessed food was 3.0 percent more expensive.

Eurostat’s flash estimate for the month does not include a monthly calculation.

For details of Eurostat data click on: here

Editing by Alison Williams

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