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METALS-Copper slides on renewed European debt worries
September 26, 2012 / 1:41 AM / 5 years ago

METALS-Copper slides on renewed European debt worries

LONDON (Reuters) - Copper fell on Wednesday following gains the previous day as investors ditched metals along with other risk assets after protests in Spain and Greece renewed fears about the euro zone debt crisis and its drag on global economic growth.

An employee carries copper hoses at the Sociedade Paulista de Tubos Flexiveis (SPTF) metallurgical company which manufactures flexible metal hoses, in Sao Paulo April 20, 2012. REUTERS/Nacho Doce

Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange fell 1.7 percent in official trading to $8,133.50 per metric tonne, after rising 1.1 percent in the previous session.

The metal widely used in construction and the power sector had gained about 16 percent from early August until hitting a 4-1/2 month peak last week on the back of central bank stimulus measures.

Copper has eased 3.5 percent from last week’s high of $8,422 a tonne.

“There’s higher risk aversion now that the euro zone debt crisis is back in focus again. Just take a look at the pictures from Spain at the violent protests, this is putting pressure on cyclical commodities,” said Daniel Briesemann, analyst at Commerzbank in Frankfurt.

Protesters in Spain clashed with police, demonstrating against a new round of austerity measures, as premier Mariano Rajoy said he was ready to seek a new rescue package but only if its debt financing costs remain too high for too long.

In Greece, police fired tear gas at hooded youths hurling petrol bombs and stones as tens of thousands took to the streets in Greece’s biggest anti-austerity demonstration in months.

The euro fell and the dollar rose to a two-week high against a basket of currencies .DXY, making it more expensive to buy dollar-priced metals with other currencies. <FRX/>

Analysts and investors were divided about whether metals would be able to build on its gains, with ANZ Bank’s metal analyst Nicholas Trevethan forecasting more losses. “We may see copper slide towards $8,000, maybe even $7,800 in the next four to six weeks,” he said.

Others, like Briesemann, view the current weakness as only a pause before the market heads higher.

“I think it’s just taking a breather after the maybe excessive price gains in the weeks before. I am confident that we are on a lasting upward trend,” he said, citing recently announced infrastructure projects in China as support for prices. “At the moment I‘m not concerned about China at all.”

On the Shanghai Futures Exchange, the most active January copper contract fell 30 yuan to close the session at 59,150 yuan ($9,400) per tonne.

Traders said Shanghai copper prices were also under pressure from weak buying interest in China ahead of the country’s National Day holiday, for which the market will be closed from September 29 to October 7.

“Small- and medium-sized companies usually face a credit crunch towards the end of September, when banks stop lending in preparation for their third-quarter financial reporting,” said a Shanghai-based physical trader.


Although three-month tin fell 2.8 percent to $20,850 a tonne in official rings, tightness in nearby material kept spreads at their highest levels in over two years.

The premium of cash metal over the three month contract was at $99 a tonne on Wednesday, down from $120 per tonne on Tuesday, the highest since August 2010, but still strong compared to $27 a week ago.

The backwardation, however, was expected to draw metal into LME warehouses and may ease the situation, Triland Metals said.

“The spread remains tight but there is tin beginning to be offered around as the back will attract material to the market,” Triland said in a note on Tuesday evening.

Last week, nearby tin spreads surged as shorts scrambled to cover positions, facing off against a party holding a large position.

Latest LME data show one party holds 40-50 percent of combined stock warrants and cash contracts and another one has a 30-40 percent position.

Aluminum did not trade in official rings, but was bid at $2,075 per tonne, down 1.4 percent from Tuesday’s close.

Barclays, which released its global markets outlook on Tuesday afternoon, was wary of more gains in base metals and advised clients to sell Aluminum, mainly used in transport and packaging.

“Aluminum appears to be the one with the greatest potential surplus at this point, so we’d be looking to selectively short Aluminum, perhaps the early 2013 contracts,” Paul Horsnell, head of commodities research, told a presentation.

Galvanizing metal zinc shed 1.9 percent in official trading to $2,095 per tonne, nickel fell 1.9 percent to $18,050 and lead lost 1.8 percent to $2,282.50.

Additional reporting by Carrie Ho, editing by William Hardy and Jason Neely

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