August 22, 2018 / 2:48 PM / a month ago

U.S. sanctions fears push ruble toward two-year low

MOSCOW (Reuters) - The ruble weakened toward its lowest in more than two years on Wednesday as traders priced in the risk of more U.S. sanctions and foreign currency purchases by the Russian central bank took their toll.

FILE PHOTO: A woman holds new 200 and 2,000 rouble banknotes in a bank in Moscow, Russia November 21, 2017. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov/File Photo

The ruble has shed more than 8 percent of its value against the dollar so far this month, vulnerable to risk aversion and volatility that was fueled by jitters in other emerging markets and threats of further U.S. sanctions.

The U.S. Treasury imposed sanctions on various Russian entities on Tuesday, and a new tranche of sanctions announced by the U.S. State Department earlier this month was expected to take effect later on Wednesday.

“The rouble is falling helplessly, shrugging off all positive (developments),” BCS brokerage analysts said.

“The sanctions theme remains in focus for Russian market players,” said Rosbank, a subsidiary of Societe Generale.

U.S. lawmakers are now pushing for yet more aggressive steps against Russia, although Donald Trump’s administration insists current sanctions are already having an effect.

The ruble hit 68.07 versus the dollar, a step away from its weakest level since April 2016, the 68.66 it touched earlier this month.

As of 1410 GMT, the Russian currency was 0.9 percent weaker at 67.87 RUBUTSTN=MCX.

The weaker ruble usually spurs inflation and curtails economic activity but boosts Russia’s budget revenues, since commodities are sold abroad for dollars.

The Kremlin played down a fall in the ruble last week, saying there was a “certain volatility” in the market but that Russia’s economic and financial systems were entirely stable.

The ruble is ignoring rising oil prices and the dip in the dollar index, BCS said, adding that technical analysis suggests the dollar-rouble pair will keep on climbing higher.

Against the euro, the ruble weakened 1.2 percent to 78.77 EURRUBTN=MCX, a level last seen on April 11 amid a previous round of market volatility driven by U.S. sanctions.

After claiming it has all necessary tools to address possible financial risks from the weaker ruble, the central resuming its daily purchases of foreign currency for the state reserves, further weakening the rouble.

The central bank said it bought 17.5 billion rubles ($261.30 million) worth of foreign currency on Aug. 20 on behalf of the finance ministry.

“If massive currency purchases continue, the rate may go up to 70 or more (rubles per dollar),” said Kirill Tremasov, former head of the economy ministry’s macroeconomic forecasting department and now head of research at Loko-Invest.

Contemplating the falling ruble and a sell-off in the government bonds market, the finance ministry decided to put weekly auctions of treasury bonds on hold for the first time since April.

Russian stocks took a hit as well. The dollar-denominated RTS index .IRTS was down 0.83 percent at 1,063.14 points, while the ruble-based MOEX Russian index .IMOEX was 0.03 percent lower at 2,291.4 points, boosted by the weaker ruble.

Additional reporting by Polina Nikolskaya, editing by Larry King

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